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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 2.7x - 3.0x | 2.9x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 2.1x - 2.3x | 2.2x |
| Fair Value | ¥7.21 - ¥7.97 | ¥7.59 |
| Upside | 0.2% - 10.7% | 5.4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| GuangDong GenSho Logistics Co.,LTD | 60,381,300.0% | SHSE:603813 |
| Hubei Three Gorges Tourism Group Co., Ltd. | 262,700.0% | SZSE:002627 |
| Shanghai Tianchen Co.,Ltd | 60,062,000.0% | SHSE:600620 |
| China Railway Special Cargo Logistics Co., Ltd. | 121,300.0% | SZSE:001213 |
| Beijing Changjiu Logistics Co.,Ltd | 60,356,900.0% | SHSE:603569 |
| Sichuan Fulin Transportation Group Co., Ltd. | 235,700.0% | SZSE:002357 |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 603813 | 2627 | 600620 | 1213 | 603569 | 2357 | |||
| SHSE:603813 | SZSE:002627 | SHSE:600620 | SZSE:001213 | SHSE:603569 | SZSE:002357 | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -10.9% | -4.5% | 43.5% | 6.3% | -7.2% | -2.1% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -0.3% | -6.4% | 100.5% | 8.1% | -2.5% | 11.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -26.2% | -45.7% | -62.7% | 7.5% | -3.8% | 2.0% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -4.4% | 4.9% | 97.4% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 11.9% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 7.2% | 0.2% | 14.7% | 4.4% | 0.5% | 8.1% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | -1.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 17.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -7.2% | 15.7% | -8.7% | 5.6% | 1.1% | 9.5% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 49.9x | 14.4x | 275.0x | 9.8x | 21.9x | 13.3x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 4.3x | 4.3x | 18.8x | 1.7x | 1.3x | 2.6x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | -59.4x | 27.7x | -216.5x | 29.7x | 117.7x | 27.6x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 1.3x | 4.3x | 18.8x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 2.1x | 2.8x | 3.6x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 2.7x | 2.9x | 3.0x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 864 | 864 | 864 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,374 | 2,499 | 2,623 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 313.5 | 313.5 | 313.5 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 7.57 | 7.97 | 8.37 | |||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 7.57 | 7.97 | 8.37 | 7.20 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 5.2% | 10.7% | 16.2% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 603813 | 2627 | 600620 | 1213 | 603569 | 2357 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,475 | 3,803 | 3,282 | 18,133 | 4,913 | 2,257 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 104.2 | 699.0 | 686.7 | 4,444.4 | 603.5 | 313.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 14.15 | 5.44 | 4.78 | 4.08 | 8.14 | 7.20 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 14.15 | 5.44 | 4.78 | 4.08 | 8.14 | 7.20 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |