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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 1.3x - 1.4x | 1.4x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 1.4x - 1.5x | 1.5x |
| Fair Value | ¥3.24 - ¥3.59 | ¥3.42 |
| Upside | 4.0% - 14.9% | 9.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Pacific Millennium Packaging Group Corporation | 182,000.0% | SEHK:1820 |
| Rengo Co., Ltd. | 394,100.0% | TSE:3941 |
| Shanghai Ailu Package Co., Ltd. | 30,106,200.0% | SZSE:301062 |
| Jiangsu Shuangxing Color Plastic New Materials Co., Ltd. | 258,500.0% | SZSE:002585 |
| Shanghai Xintonglian Packaging Co., Ltd. | 60,302,200.0% | SHSE:603022 |
| MYS Group Co., Ltd. | 230,300.0% | SZSE:002303 |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 1820 | 3941 | 301062 | 2585 | 603022 | 2303 | |||
| SEHK:1820 | TSE:3941 | SZSE:301062 | SZSE:002585 | SHSE:603022 | SZSE:002303 | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 0.6% | 6.6% | 14.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 1.6% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -3.9% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 1.5% | 8.2% | 1.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.5% | 6.5% | 13.6% | 10.5% | -1.7% | 3.3% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 1.8% | 3.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 1.1% | 2.4% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | -0.9% | 3.7% | 7.1% | -3.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -0.9% | 2.8% | 7.4% | -7.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 25.5x | 4.1x | 25.8x | -210.4x | 14.4x | 9.4x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.7x | 0.2x | 2.8x | 0.9x | 1.7x | 1.2x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | -73.0x | 6.7x | 38.5x | -11.9x | 27.8x | 18.9x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.2x | 0.9x | 2.8x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 1.3x | 1.5x | 2.5x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 1.3x | 1.4x | 1.4x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 3,850 | 3,850 | 3,850 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 5,023 | 5,288 | 5,552 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,531.3 | 1,531.3 | 1,531.3 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 3.28 | 3.45 | 3.63 | |||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3.28 | 3.45 | 3.63 | 3.12 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 5.1% | 10.7% | 16.2% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 1820 | 3941 | 301062 | 2585 | 603022 | 2303 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,422 | 176,964 | 3,350 | 5,227 | 1,498 | 4,778 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 300.6 | 247.8 | 432.3 | 1,141.3 | 200.0 | 1,531.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 4.73 | 714.10 | 7.75 | 4.58 | 7.49 | 3.12 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.95 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 5.00 | 714.10 | 7.75 | 4.58 | 7.49 | 3.12 | |
| Trading Currency | HKD | JPY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.95 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |