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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 3.3x - 3.7x | 3.5x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 2.5x - 2.8x | 2.6x |
| Fair Value | ¥27.39 - ¥30.27 | ¥28.83 |
| Upside | 3.7% - 14.7% | 9.2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Bank of Changsha Co., Ltd. | 60,157,700.0% | SHSE:601577 |
| Bank of Communications Co., Ltd. | 60,132,800.0% | SHSE:601328 |
| Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited | 60,139,800.0% | SHSE:601398 |
| Bank of Lanzhou Co., Ltd. | 122,700.0% | SZSE:001227 |
| Dongguan Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. | 988,900.0% | SEHK:9889 |
| Bank of Ningbo Co., Ltd. | 214,200.0% | SZSE:002142 |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 601577 | 601328 | 601398 | 1227 | 9889 | 2142 | |||
| SHSE:601577 | SHSE:601328 | SHSE:601398 | SZSE:001227 | SEHK:9889 | SZSE:002142 | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 9.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | -2.6% | 4.0% | 19.4% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 10.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 17.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.1% | 3.2% | -0.8% | 1.0% | -10.5% | 5.9% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 46.2% | 44.8% | 53.7% | 38.3% | 54.4% | 48.5% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 44.3% | 43.1% | 52.2% | 39.8% | 53.9% | 47.0% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 45.0% | 42.5% | 53.1% | 40.0% | 51.9% | 47.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 45.6% | 42.1% | 53.7% | 40.8% | 49.8% | 47.7% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 2.1x | 2.5x | 3.5x | 2.9x | 2.4x | 3.2x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 4.7x | 6.0x | 6.6x | 7.1x | 4.8x | 6.7x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 2.1x | 2.5x | 3.5x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 2.6x | 6.1x | 7.1x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 3.3x | 3.5x | 3.7x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 54,737 | 54,737 | 54,737 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 181,125 | 190,658 | 200,191 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 6,603.6 | 6,603.6 | 6,603.6 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 27.43 | 28.87 | 30.32 | |||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 27.43 | 28.87 | 30.32 | 26.40 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 3.9% | 9.4% | 14.8% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 601577 | 601328 | 601398 | 1227 | 9889 | 2142 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 36,556 | 481,394 | 2,448,511 | 13,385 | 22,524 | 174,335 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 4,021.6 | 64,703.5 | 356,406.3 | 5,695.7 | 6,888.5 | 6,603.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 9.09 | 7.44 | 6.87 | 2.35 | 3.27 | 26.40 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.93 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 9.09 | 7.44 | 6.87 | 2.35 | 3.50 | 26.40 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | HKD | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.93 | 1.00 | |