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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 5.2x - 5.7x | 5.5x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 5.1x - 5.6x | 5.4x |
| Fair Value | ¥9.51 - ¥10.51 | ¥10.01 |
| Upside | -26.2% - -18.4% | -22.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Chengdu Expressway Co., Ltd. | 178,500.0% | SEHK:1785 |
| Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co., Ltd. | 20,042,900.0% | SZSE:200429 |
| Qilu Expressway Company Limited | 157,600.0% | SEHK:1576 |
| Rizhao Port Jurong Co., Ltd. | 611,700.0% | SEHK:6117 |
| TangShan Port Group Co.,Ltd | 60,100,000.0% | SHSE:601000 |
| China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings Co.,Ltd. | 196,500.0% | SZSE:001965 |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 1785 | 200429 | 1576 | 6117 | 601000 | 1965 | |||
| SEHK:1785 | SZSE:200429 | SEHK:1576 | SEHK:6117 | SHSE:601000 | SZSE:001965 | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 9.6% | -1.8% | 43.5% | 9.2% | -10.4% | 7.6% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 12.4% | -4.7% | 49.2% | 10.3% | -9.3% | 11.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 0.3% | -6.3% | 87.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 30.7% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 22.1% | 43.2% | 30.0% | 24.7% | 30.6% | 58.1% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 18.9% | 33.5% | 26.7% | 24.1% | 30.1% | 58.6% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 21.4% | 34.2% | 9.4% | 26.4% | 32.9% | 69.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 20.9% | 34.2% | 7.0% | 25.7% | 33.3% | 53.7% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.6x | 7.3x | 14.9x | 2.2x | 6.5x | 17.4x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.3x | 5.8x | 0.7x | 1.4x | 4.4x | 7.2x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 6.0x | 17.0x | 9.4x | 5.3x | 13.1x | 13.4x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.7x | 1.4x | 5.8x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 5.5x | 6.1x | 6.8x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 5.2x | 5.5x | 5.7x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 12,233 | 12,233 | 12,233 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 63,497 | 66,839 | 70,181 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 6,820.3 | 6,820.3 | 6,820.3 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 9.31 | 9.80 | 10.29 | |||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 9.31 | 9.80 | 10.29 | 12.88 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -27.7% | -23.9% | -20.1% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 1785 | 200429 | 1576 | 6117 | 601000 | 1965 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 3,583 | 25,165 | 4,439 | 1,146 | 24,830 | 87,846 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,656.1 | 3,424.5 | 2,000.0 | 1,660.0 | 5,925.9 | 6,820.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2.16 | 7.35 | 2.22 | 0.69 | 4.19 | 12.88 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.32 | 7.88 | 2.38 | 0.74 | 4.19 | 12.88 | |
| Trading Currency | HKD | HKD | HKD | HKD | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |