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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 37.9x - 41.9x | 39.9x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | -49.7x - -54.9x | -52.3x |
Fair Value | ¥8.41 - ¥9.29 | ¥8.85 |
Upside | -35.7% - -28.9% | -32.3% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Nanjing Public Utilities Development Co., Ltd. | 42,100.0% | SZSE:000421 |
Shaanxi Provincial Natural Gas Co.,Ltd | 226,700.0% | SZSE:002267 |
Xinjiang East Universe Gas Co.Ltd. | 60,370,600.0% | SHSE:603706 |
Xinjiang Haoyuan Natural Gas Co., Ltd. | 270,000.0% | SZSE:002700 |
Kunlun Energy Company Limited | 13,500.0% | SEHK:135 |
Senton Energy Co.,Ltd. | 133,100.0% | SZSE:001331 |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
421 | 2267 | 603706 | 2700 | 135 | 1331 | |||
SZSE:000421 | SZSE:002267 | SHSE:603706 | SZSE:002700 | SEHK:135 | SZSE:001331 | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | 6.4% | 16.0% | 7.3% | 19.7% | NM- | ||
3Y CAGR | NM- | 15.1% | 23.6% | NM- | 5.1% | NM- | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -218.9% | 139.7% | 41.8% | -4.4% | 4.9% | 222.1% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 2.6% | 6.5% | 16.8% | -7.4% | 8.5% | 1.7% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 0.9% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | -1.9% | 7.2% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 3.2% | -0.8% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -2.6% | 8.9% | 16.9% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 54.0x | 7.9x | 6.7x | 29.2x | 3.3x | 103.5x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.7x | 1.1x | 2.8x | 5.5x | 0.4x | 0.5x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | -27.5x | 12.4x | 16.7x | 41.4x | 11.2x | 70.1x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -27.5x | 12.4x | 41.4x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -95.2x | -39.6x | 16.0x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | 37.9x | 39.9x | 41.9x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | 38 | 38 | 38 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 1,426 | 1,501 | 1,576 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 201.6 | 201.6 | 201.6 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 7.07 | 7.44 | 7.82 | |||||
FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 7.07 | 7.44 | 7.82 | 13.07 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -45.9% | -43.1% | -40.2% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 421 | 2267 | 603706 | 2700 | 135 | 1331 | |
Value of Common Equity | 3,502 | 9,442 | 3,577 | 3,764 | 66,496 | 2,635 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 576.1 | 1,112.1 | 189.4 | 413.6 | 8,658.8 | 201.6 | |
Implied Stock Price | 6.08 | 8.49 | 18.89 | 9.10 | 7.68 | 13.07 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.94 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 6.08 | 8.49 | 18.89 | 9.10 | 8.20 | 13.07 | |
Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | HKD | CNY | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.94 | 1.00 |