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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 36.7x - 40.6x | 38.6x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 12.7x - 14.0x | 13.4x |
| Fair Value | ¥13.61 - ¥14.87 | ¥14.24 |
| Upside | 8.7% - 18.8% | 13.8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Guangdong Lingxiao Pump Industry Co.,Ltd. | 2884 | SZSE:002884 |
| Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited | 3808 | SEHK:3808 |
| Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery Co., Ltd. | 605286 | SHSE:605286 |
| Zhejiang Langdi Group Co., Ltd. | 603726 | SHSE:603726 |
| Yeal Electric Co., Ltd. | 300923 | SZSE:300923 |
| Riyue Heavy Industry Co.,Ltd | 603218 | SHSE:603218 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 2884 | 3808 | 605286 | 603726 | 300923 | 603218 | ||
| SZSE:002884 | SEHK:3808 | SHSE:605286 | SHSE:603726 | SZSE:300923 | SHSE:603218 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 11.2% | 5.5% | 24.8% | 7.6% | -10.0% | -12.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -3.4% | 11.0% | 36.6% | 11.2% | -8.8% | -22.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 16.3% | 18.2% | 51.5% | 41.5% | -2.9% | 5.5% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 27.8% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 30.0% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 29.2% | 7.6% | 16.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 29.1% | 7.6% | 19.3% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.80x | 0.10x | 2.66x | 1.40x | 3.37x | 2.10x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.0x | 1.1x | 12.6x | 10.2x | 30.6x | 15.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 9.6x | 1.4x | 13.8x | 13.9x | 42.4x | 35.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 1.4x | 13.8x | 42.4x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 23.7x | 34.6x | 171.6x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 36.7x | 38.6x | 40.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 309 | 309 | 309 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 11,360 | 11,958 | 12,556 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 1,707 | 1,707 | 1,707 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 13,067 | 13,665 | 14,262 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,019.2 | 1,019.2 | 1,019.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 12.82 | 13.41 | 13.99 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 12.82 | 13.41 | 13.99 | 12.52 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 2.4% | 7.1% | 11.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 2884 | 3808 | 605286 | 603726 | 300923 | 603218 | |
| Enterprise Value | 4,569 | 9,533 | 6,891 | 2,752 | 1,644 | 11,054 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,456 | 41,100 | 408 | 255 | 297 | 2,491 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 9 | 11,948 | 2 | 274 | 19 | 79 | |
| (-) Debt | 0 | (5,705) | (211) | (395) | (5) | (773) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (7,992) | (371) | (3) | 0 | (91) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 6,034 | 48,884 | 6,720 | 2,884 | 1,955 | 12,761 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 357.7 | 2,761.0 | 168.0 | 185.4 | 78.1 | 1,019.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 16.87 | 17.71 | 40.00 | 15.55 | 25.03 | 12.52 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 0.92 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 16.87 | 19.16 | 40.00 | 15.55 | 25.03 | 12.52 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | HKD | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 0.92 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |