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300199
8.0%
300497
7.0%
688197
5.2%
HK
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康惠製藥
SHSE:603139
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股息
財報
模型
財務狀況
比較
穩健度
圖表
10 年 DCF 收入退出價
股價
18.50
CNY
公允價值
8.04
CNY
Metrics
Range
Conclusion
Discount Rate
9.5% - 8.5%
9.0%
Terminal Revenue Multiple
3.1x - 3.4x
3.2x
Fair Value
¥6.56 - ¥9.62
¥8.04
Upside
-64.4% - -47.8%
-56.4%
5.4%
Revenue 10y CAGR
13.8%
10y Avg EBITDA Margin
-18.3%
Unlevered FCF 10y CAGR
10-Year DCF Model: Revenue Exit
分享
儲存
股價
18.50
CNY
公允價值
8.04
CNY
看漲
-56.4%
Revenue and EBITDA
CapEx
Working Capital
D&A
Tax Rate
Discount Rate
Terminal Value
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast
(CNY in millions)
Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending
Dec-23
Dec-24
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Revenue
673
808
908
977
1,011
1,031
1,052
1,073
1,094
1,116
1,138
% Growth
36.9%
20.0%
12.5%
7.5%
3.5%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
EBITDA
39
87
120
139
144
147
150
153
156
159
162
% of Revenue
5.8%
10.7%
13.2%
14.2%
14.2%
14.2%
14.2%
14.2%
14.2%
14.2%
14.2%
支援算式
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Discounting Periods
Discounting Factors
Calculation of Enterprise Value
Equity Waterfall
Historical Financials
Current Trading Multiples
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
Dec-24
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
EBITDA
87
120
139
144
147
150
153
156
159
162
Other Income / (Exp)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
D&A
(40)
(46)
(49)
(51)
(52)
(53)
(54)
(55)
(56)
(57)
EBIT
46
75
90
93
95
97
99
101
103
105
Pro forma Taxes
(6)
(10)
(13)
(13)
(13)
(14)
(14)
(14)
(14)
(15)
NOPAT
1
40
64
77
80
82
83
85
87
88
90
Capital Expenditures
(72)
(167)
(136)
(146)
(152)
(155)
(151)
(152)
(153)
(152)
(152)
NWC Investment
(74)
(55)
(41)
(28)
(14)
(8)
(8)
(9)
(9)
(9)
(9)
(+) D&A
38
40
46
49
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
Free Cash Flow
(107)
(141)
(68)
(48)
(35)
(29)
(23)
(22)
(20)
(16)
(14)
% Growth
NM
NM
NM
NM
NM
NM
NM
NM
NM
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