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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1.9x - 2.1x | 2.0x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 2.1x - 2.3x | 2.2x |
| Fair Value | ¥1.57 - ¥1.80 | ¥1.68 |
| Upside | -11.9% - 1.1% | -5.4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Paslin Digital Technology Co., Ltd. | 600215 | SHSE:600215 |
| Shang Hai Ya Tong Co.,Ltd. | 600692 | SHSE:600692 |
| Bright Real Estate Group Co.,Limited | 600708 | SHSE:600708 |
| Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co., Ltd. | 600048 | SHSE:600048 |
| Hefei Urban Construction Development Co., Ltd | 2208 | SZSE:002208 |
| Shenzhen HeungKong Holding Co.,Ltd | 600162 | SHSE:600162 |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 600215 | 600692 | 600708 | 600048 | 2208 | 600162 | |||
| SHSE:600215 | SHSE:600692 | SHSE:600708 | SHSE:600048 | SZSE:002208 | SHSE:600162 | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 29.4% | 12.2% | -15.9% | 12.3% | 32.0% | -4.5% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 12.0% | 9.2% | -16.9% | 12.6% | 13.8% | -12.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 8.4% | -33.6% | -44.6% | 6.3% | 38.9% | -29.4% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 14.8% | 18.2% | 13.6% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 2.2% | 1.7% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 8.7% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.8% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 2.1% | 0.6% | -4.0% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 3.8% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.60x | 3.02x | 6.18x | 1.10x | 1.66x | 1.96x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 126.3x | 516.5x | -155.6x | 17.4x | 15.7x | 51.8x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 2.09x | 2.86x | 1.33x | 0.30x | 0.59x | 1.46x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 1.10x | 2.60x | 6.18x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 1.42x | 1.91x | 2.57x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.87x | 1.97x | 2.07x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 4,040 | 4,040 | 4,040 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 7,568 | 7,966 | 8,364 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (2,040) | (2,040) | (2,040) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 5,527 | 5,926 | 6,324 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 3,268.4 | 3,268.4 | 3,268.4 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 1.69 | 1.81 | 1.93 | |||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.69 | 1.81 | 1.93 | 1.78 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -5.0% | 1.9% | 8.7% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 600215 | 600692 | 600708 | 600048 | 2208 | 600162 | |
| Enterprise Value | 5,411 | 2,992 | 35,888 | 369,523 | 15,195 | 7,858 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 20 | 589 | 5,335 | 127,808 | 3,714 | 1,213 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 139 | 2,049 | 106,072 | 700 | 193 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,092) | (400) | (35,003) | (358,649) | (9,942) | (3,566) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (488) | (603) | (144,255) | (4,309) | 119 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 4,338 | 2,832 | 7,667 | 100,500 | 5,358 | 5,818 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 450.5 | 351.8 | 2,228.6 | 11,865.4 | 803.3 | 3,268.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 9.63 | 8.05 | 3.44 | 8.47 | 6.67 | 1.78 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 9.63 | 8.05 | 3.44 | 8.47 | 6.67 | 1.78 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |