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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -53.7x - -59.4x | -56.6x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 14.6x - 16.1x | 15.3x |
| Fair Value | ¥20.03 - ¥22.13 | ¥21.08 |
| Upside | 73.4% - 91.6% | 82.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Beijing New Space Technology Co., Ltd. | 605178 | SHSE:605178 |
| Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group Co., Ltd. | 2586 | SZSE:002586 |
| Sinosteel Engineering & Technology Co., Ltd. | 928 | SZSE:000928 |
| China Haisum Engineering Co., Ltd. | 2116 | SZSE:002116 |
| Shenzhen Zhongzhuang Construction Group Co.,Ltd | 2822 | SZSE:002822 |
| CSSC Science& Technology Co., Ltd | 600072 | SHSE:600072 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 605178 | 2586 | 928 | 2116 | 2822 | 600072 | ||
| SHSE:605178 | SZSE:002586 | SZSE:000928 | SZSE:002116 | SZSE:002822 | SHSE:600072 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 8.7% | 83.5% | NM- | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 24.0% | 30.2% | NM- | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 10.5% | 66.9% | 6.4% | 29.4% | -4101.5% | -249.5% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -38.7% | -1.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | -0.4% | 0.7% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -70.3% | -7.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -105.0% | -4.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | -12.6% | -0.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -89.4% | -4.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | -34.6% | -4.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 5.69x | 1.26x | 0.27x | 0.18x | 1.47x | 2.91x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -6.7x | -38.1x | 4.2x | 3.0x | -4.6x | 306.4x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -6.4x | -27.5x | 4.3x | 3.2x | -4.3x | -60.5x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -27.5x | -4.3x | 4.3x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -115.8x | 103.0x | 731.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -53.7x | -56.6x | -59.4x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | (553) | (553) | (553) | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 29,698 | 31,261 | 32,824 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 29,698 | 31,261 | 32,824 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,506.5 | 1,506.5 | 1,506.5 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 19.71 | 20.75 | 21.79 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/CNY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 19.71 | 20.75 | 21.79 | 11.55 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 70.7% | 79.7% | 88.6% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 605178 | 2586 | 928 | 2116 | 2822 | 600072 | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,345 | 2,798 | 4,444 | 1,226 | 4,601 | 17,400 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 193 | 1,093 | 4,946 | 3,068 | 212 | 0 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 43 | 124 | 0 | 0 | 82 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (120) | (996) | (969) | (27) | (2,632) | 0 | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (54) | (32) | 0 | 0 | (19) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,406 | 2,986 | 8,421 | 4,268 | 2,244 | 17,400 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 99.3 | 1,144.2 | 1,434.6 | 455.5 | 733.4 | 1,506.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 14.17 | 2.61 | 5.87 | 9.37 | 3.06 | 11.55 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 14.17 | 2.61 | 5.87 | 9.37 | 3.06 | 11.55 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | CNY | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |