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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 7.0x - 7.8x | 7.4x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 6.5x - 7.2x | 6.8x |
| Fair Value | ฿8.86 - ฿9.93 | ฿9.39 |
| Upside | 21.4% - 36.0% | 28.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Rojukiss International Public Company Limited | KISS | SET:KISS |
| Karmarts Public Company Limited | KAMART | SET:KAMART |
| S & J International Enterprises Public Company Limited | S&J | SET:S&J |
| Asian Phytoceuticals Public Company Limited | APCO | SET:APCO |
| Do Day Dream Public Company Limited | DDD | SET:DDD |
| Thai Nippon Rubber Industry Public Co., Ltd. | TNR | SET:TNR |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| KISS | KAMART | S&J | APCO | DDD | TNR | ||
| SET:KISS | SET:KAMART | SET:S&J | SET:APCO | SET:DDD | SET:TNR | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -3.4% | 19.5% | 12.7% | -5.6% | NM- | 12.2% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 10.1% | 30.9% | 10.1% | -10.1% | -23.9% | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 1.0% | 28.8% | -20.7% | -52.1% | -51.7% | 30.0% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 20.7% | 25.2% | 12.4% | 36.6% | -2.5% | 13.7% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 20.8% | 28.9% | 14.5% | 42.2% | 4.5% | 17.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 17.4% | 28.4% | 12.6% | 28.1% | 2.4% | 21.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 17.4% | 28.4% | 12.6% | 28.1% | 2.4% | 21.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.44x | 2.89x | 0.48x | 6.81x | -0.64x | 1.22x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.3x | 10.2x | 3.8x | 24.2x | -27.2x | 5.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 8.7x | 10.6x | 5.4x | 27.0x | 1097.6x | 7.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -27.2x | 8.3x | 24.2x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.7x | 12.0x | 93.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.0x | 7.4x | 7.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 450 | 450 | 450 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 3,165 | 3,332 | 3,498 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (369) | (369) | (369) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,796 | 2,963 | 3,129 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 300.0 | 300.0 | 300.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 9.32 | 9.88 | 10.43 | ||||
| FX Rate: THB/THB | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 9.32 | 9.88 | 10.43 | 7.30 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 27.7% | 35.3% | 42.9% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | KISS | KAMART | S&J | APCO | DDD | TNR | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,686 | 9,261 | 3,009 | 1,435 | (933) | 2,559 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 397 | 1,450 | 1,053 | 352 | 2,907 | 132 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 392 | 1,472 | 136 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (8) | (641) | (303) | (24) | (84) | (501) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (68) | (471) | (3) | (48) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,076 | 10,395 | 4,760 | 1,896 | 1,842 | 2,190 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 600.0 | 1,283.3 | 149.9 | 600.0 | 317.7 | 300.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 3.46 | 8.10 | 31.75 | 3.16 | 5.80 | 7.30 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 3.46 | 8.10 | 31.75 | 3.16 | 5.80 | 7.30 | |
| Trading Currency | THB | THB | THB | THB | THB | THB | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |