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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 3.5x - 3.9x | 3.7x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 1.4x - 1.5x | 1.4x |
| Fair Value | ฿1.26 - ฿1.28 | ฿1.27 |
| Upside | 5.8% - 7.6% | 6.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Chonburi Concrete Product Public Company Limited | CCP | SET:CCP |
| Yong Concrete Public Company Limited | YONG | SET:YONG |
| The Siam Cement Public Company Limited | SCC | SET:SCC |
| Siam Technic Concrete Public Company Limited | STECH | SET:STECH |
| Quality Construction Products Public Company Limited | Q-CON | SET:Q-CON |
| Stone One Public Company Limited | STX | SET:STX |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| CCP | YONG | SCC | STECH | Q-CON | STX | ||
| SET:CCP | SET:YONG | SET:SCC | SET:STECH | SET:Q-CON | SET:STX | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 10.4% | -6.6% | -34.6% | 7.3% | 23.3% | -29.4% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 33.2% | -4.6% | -59.1% | 18.9% | 52.8% | -14.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -21.7% | -49.4% | -67.8% | 15.9% | -34.2% | 760.7% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.1% | 12.4% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 18.1% | 1.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 7.7% | 14.9% | 2.3% | 9.3% | 30.2% | -0.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 6.5% | 8.7% | 0.7% | 10.3% | 26.4% | 4.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.5% | 8.7% | 0.7% | 10.3% | 26.4% | 4.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.39x | 0.73x | 0.78x | 0.90x | 0.72x | 0.10x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.2x | 5.1x | 13.0x | 5.7x | 2.3x | 0.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 5.9x | 8.4x | 110.0x | 8.8x | 2.7x | 2.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 2.7x | 8.4x | 110.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 2.4x | 2.4x | 2.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 3.5x | 3.7x | 3.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 18 | 18 | 18 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 62 | 65 | 68 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 324 | 324 | 324 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 386 | 389 | 392 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 307.1 | 307.1 | 307.1 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1.26 | 1.27 | 1.28 | ||||
| FX Rate: THB/THB | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.26 | 1.27 | 1.28 | 1.19 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | CCP | YONG | SCC | STECH | Q-CON | STX | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,069 | 723 | 399,226 | 1,882 | 1,725 | 42 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 318 | 46 | 51,895 | 78 | 1,422 | 337 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 3 | 0 | 156,206 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (558) | (177) | (348,435) | (1,286) | (48) | (13) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (251) | 0 | (66,893) | (0) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 581 | 592 | 192,000 | 674 | 3,100 | 365 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,768.0 | 680.0 | 1,200.0 | 725.0 | 400.0 | 307.1 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.21 | 0.87 | 160.00 | 0.93 | 7.75 | 1.19 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.21 | 0.87 | 160.00 | 0.93 | 7.75 | 1.19 | |
| Trading Currency | THB | THB | THB | THB | THB | THB | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |