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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 4.9x - 5.4x | 5.2x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 3.8x - 4.2x | 4.0x |
| Fair Value | ฿13.18 - ฿14.44 | ฿13.81 |
| Upside | 31.8% - 44.4% | 38.1% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Panjawattana Plastic Public Company Limited | PJW | SET:PJW |
| Prodigy Public Company Limited | PDG | SET:PDG |
| Polyplex (Thailand) Public Company Limited | PTL | SET:PTL |
| BG Container Glass Public Company Limited | BGC | SET:BGC |
| Sahamitr Pressure Container Public Company Limited | SMPC | SET:SMPC |
| Sahathai Printing & Packaging Public Company Limited | STP | SET:STP |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| PJW | PDG | PTL | BGC | SMPC | STP | ||
| SET:PJW | SET:PDG | SET:PTL | SET:BGC | SET:SMPC | SET:STP | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 7.0% | -3.6% | -7.3% | -0.7% | 7.3% | 20.5% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -1.3% | -0.8% | -22.9% | -4.4% | -7.4% | 9.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -9.0% | 73.8% | 48.4% | 5.4% | 36.9% | 77.4% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 13.1% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 18.5% | 29.6% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 14.4% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 26.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 12.2% | 18.8% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 34.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 12.2% | 18.8% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 34.1% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.74x | 0.73x | 0.49x | 1.00x | 0.91x | 1.26x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.1x | 3.9x | 4.6x | 6.8x | 5.7x | 3.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 12.4x | 5.4x | 8.1x | 26.1x | 6.5x | 4.6x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.9x | 5.7x | 6.8x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.7x | 6.7x | 8.8x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.9x | 5.2x | 5.4x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 236 | 236 | 236 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,157 | 1,218 | 1,279 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 125 | 125 | 125 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,282 | 1,343 | 1,404 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 12.82 | 13.43 | 14.04 | ||||
| FX Rate: THB/THB | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 12.82 | 13.43 | 14.04 | 10.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 28.2% | 34.3% | 40.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | PJW | PDG | PTL | BGC | SMPC | STP | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,772 | 464 | 11,126 | 14,355 | 4,186 | 875 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 53 | 338 | 1,737 | 147 | 655 | 218 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 157 | 1,007 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,511) | 0 | (3,118) | (11,453) | (289) | (92) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (10) | 0 | (272) | (375) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,304 | 802 | 9,630 | 3,681 | 4,552 | 1,000 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 587.3 | 297.0 | 900.0 | 694.4 | 535.5 | 100.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2.22 | 2.70 | 10.70 | 5.30 | 8.50 | 10.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.22 | 2.70 | 10.70 | 5.30 | 8.50 | 10.00 | |
| Trading Currency | THB | THB | THB | THB | THB | THB | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |