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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 5.9x - 6.6x | 6.2x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 3.0x - 3.3x | 3.1x |
| Fair Value | ฿0.23 - ฿0.24 | ฿0.23 |
| Upside | 1.3% - 2.3% | 1.8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| A.J. Plast Public Company Limited | AJ | SET:AJ |
| Thai Coating Industrial Public Company Limited | TCOAT | SET:TCOAT |
| Thai O.P.P. Public Company Limited | TOPP | SET:TOPP |
| S. Pack & Print Public Company Limited | SPACK | SET:SPACK |
| Thantawan Industry Public Company Limited | THIP | SET:THIP |
| NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited | NEP | SET:NEP |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| AJ | TCOAT | TOPP | SPACK | THIP | NEP | |||
| SET:AJ | SET:TCOAT | SET:TOPP | SET:SPACK | SET:THIP | SET:NEP | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 2.8% | -2.3% | 1.4% | 4.0% | 7.2% | -54.6% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -5.5% | -1.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 4.4% | -73.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 3.2% | 0.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 25.4% | 423.3% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 1.9% | 0.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 9.9% | -34.7% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -5.8% | -0.2% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 8.3% | 100.0% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | -7.4% | 0.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | -174.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -7.4% | 0.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | -174.1% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.16x | 0.21x | 0.23x | 0.53x | 0.40x | 3.21x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | -15.6x | 48.4x | 3.4x | 8.6x | 4.8x | -1.8x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.17x | 0.38x | 0.54x | 0.32x | 0.55x | 64.94x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.21x | 0.40x | 1.16x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.10x | 0.57x | 3.21x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 5.93x | 6.25x | 6.56x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 8 | 8 | 8 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 47 | 49 | 52 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 486 | 486 | 486 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 533 | 535 | 538 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,325.4 | 2,325.4 | 2,325.4 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.23 | |||||
| FX Rate: THB/THB | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.23 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | AJ | TCOAT | TOPP | SPACK | THIP | NEP | |
| Enterprise Value | 9,104 | 146 | 398 | 697 | 1,734 | 49 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 390 | 149 | 504 | 119 | 811 | 15 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 221 | 0 | 160 | 0 | 103 | 472 | |
| (-) Debt | (7,879) | (6) | (132) | (399) | (286) | (1) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (547) | (26) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,288 | 263 | 930 | 417 | 2,362 | 535 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 596.5 | 10.5 | 6.0 | 300.0 | 90.0 | 2,325.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2.16 | 25.00 | 155.00 | 1.39 | 26.25 | 0.23 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.16 | 25.00 | 155.00 | 1.39 | 26.25 | 0.23 | |
| Trading Currency | THB | THB | THB | THB | THB | THB | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |