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CP Axtra Public Company Limited

SET:CPAXT

泰國 / 必需消費品 / Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail

綜觀

5 年 DCF EBITDA 退出價

股價

24.10 THB

公允價值

28.18 THB

Metrics	Range	Conclusion
Discount Rate	8.8% - 7.8%	8.3%
Terminal EBITDA Multiple	8.8x - 10.8x	9.8x
Fair Value	฿24.24 - ฿32.27	฿28.18
Upside	0.6% - 33.9%	16.9%

2.2%

Revenue 5y CAGR

8.0%

5y Avg EBITDA Margin

7.1%

Unlevered FCF 5y CAGR

5-Year DCF Model: EBITDA Exit

股價

24.10 THB

公允價值

28.18 THB

看漲

16.9%

Revenue and EBITDA

CapEx

Working Capital

D&A

Tax Rate

Discount Rate

Terminal Value


Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast

(THB in millions)		Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending	Dec-24	Dec-25	Dec-26	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29

Revenue	508,745	527,697	549,350	571,252	568,212	568,212
% Growth	4.6%	3.7%	4.1%	4.0%	-0.5%	0.0%

EBITDA	30,050	39,168	42,383	44,713	48,180	48,927
% of Revenue	5.9%	7.4%	7.7%	7.8%	8.5%	8.6%

支援算式

Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Discounting Periods

Discounting Factors

Calculation of Enterprise Value

Equity Waterfall

Historical Financials

Current Trading Multiples


Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
(THB in millions)		Dec-25	Dec-26	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29

EBITDA		39,168	42,383	44,713	48,180	48,927
Other Income / (Exp)		0	0	0	0	0
D&A		(18,205)	(19,212)	(19,944)	(18,889)	(14,902)

EBIT		20,963	23,171	24,769	29,291	34,025
Pro forma Taxes		(4,402)	(4,866)	(5,201)	(6,151)	(7,145)
NOPAT	14,720	16,561	18,305	19,567	23,140	26,880

Capital Expenditures	(11,393)	(23,390)	(18,028)	(18,543)	(20,978)	(18,894)
NWC Investment	1,488	1,266	1,447	1,464	(203)	0
(+) D&A	11,416	18,205	19,212	19,944	18,889	14,902

Free Cash Flow	16,232	12,642	20,936	22,432	20,848	22,888
% Growth		-22%	66%	7%	-7%	10%

載入錯誤

CP Axtra Public Company Limited

SET:CPAXT

泰國 / 必需消費品 / Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail

5 年 DCF EBITDA 退出價