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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | -0.2x - -0.3x | -0.3x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | -0.4x - -0.4x | -0.4x |
Fair Value | HK$ 0.11 - HK$ 0.12 | HK$ 0.11 |
Upside | -7.3% - 2.4% | -2.5% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Glorious Property Holdings Limited | 84,500.0% | SEHK:845 |
Sunac China Holdings Limited | 191,800.0% | SEHK:1918 |
KWG Group Holdings Limited | 181,300.0% | SEHK:1813 |
Kaisa Group Holdings Ltd. | 163,800.0% | SEHK:1638 |
Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Limited | 123,800.0% | SEHK:1238 |
Mingfa Group (International) Company Limited | 84,600.0% | SEHK:846 |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
845 | 1918 | 1813 | 1638 | 1238 | 846 | |||
SEHK:845 | SEHK:1918 | SEHK:1813 | SEHK:1638 | SEHK:1238 | SEHK:846 | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | ||
3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -27988.8% | -222.4% | 56.8% | -43.2% | -117.3% | -283.4% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -49.0% | -11.1% | -47.5% | -59.9% | 7.0% | 1.7% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | -4.7% | -5.2% | -118.5% | -76.2% | -11.6% | -4.9% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | -111.7% | -34.7% | -73.1% | -246.8% | -22.4% | -25.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -64.2% | -34.7% | -73.1% | -246.8% | -22.4% | -25.5% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 19.2x | -35.8x | -18.5x | -7.4x | 64.5x | 7.9x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.0x | 0.2x | 0.1x | 0.1x | 0.1x | 0.1x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 0.0x | -0.5x | -0.1x | 0.0x | -0.3x | -0.4x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -0.5x | -0.1x | 0.0x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -5.3x | 1.3x | 8.2x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | -0.2x | -0.3x | -0.3x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | (1,791) | (1,791) | (1,791) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 436 | 459 | 482 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 6,093.5 | 6,093.5 | 6,093.5 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.08 | |||||
FX Rate: CNY/HKD | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.12 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -33.4% | -29.9% | -26.4% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 845 | 1918 | 1813 | 1638 | 1238 | 846 | |
Value of Common Equity | 73 | 13,995 | 1,070 | 1,160 | 1,451 | 655 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 7,792.6 | 9,855.4 | 3,418.9 | 7,015.5 | 4,140.4 | 6,093.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 0.01 | 1.42 | 0.31 | 0.17 | 0.35 | 0.11 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.93 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.01 | 1.52 | 0.34 | 0.18 | 0.38 | 0.12 | |
Trading Currency | HKD | HKD | HKD | HKD | HKD | HKD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.93 |