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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM P/E Multiple | -271.6x - -300.2x | -285.9x |
| Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 13.9x - 15.4x | 14.7x |
| Fair Value | HK$ 3.52 - HK$ 3.89 | HK$ 3.71 |
| Upside | -26.2% - -18.4% | -22.3% |
| Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
| Juneyao Airlines Co., Ltd | 60,388,500.0% | SHSE:603885 |
| Spring Airlines Co., Ltd. | 60,102,100.0% | SHSE:601021 |
| Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:ULCC |
| Finnair Oyj | - | HLSE:FIA1S |
| Norwegian Air Shuttle ASA | - | OB:NAS |
| Air China Limited | 75,300.0% | SEHK:753 |
| - | - | - |
| Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 603885 | 601021 | ULCC | FIA1S | NAS | 753 | |||
| SHSE:603885 | SHSE:601021 | NasdaqGS:ULCC | HLSE:FIA1S | OB:NAS | SEHK:753 | |||
| Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -9.4% | 8.5% | -18.7% | -9.8% | NM- | NM- | ||
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | -12.9% | NM- | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 2437.5% | 58.4% | 863.6% | -82.9% | -24.7% | 77.3% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -8.2% | -1.7% | -5.0% | -29.9% | -86.0% | -23.7% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -50.5% | -36.3% | -0.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | -0.7% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 3.7% | 12.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 3.5% | -0.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.0% | 11.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 3.5% | -0.1% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 16.8x | 13.5x | -22.1x | 3.7x | 2.6x | 23.8x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 1.3x | 2.6x | 0.2x | 0.2x | 0.4x | 0.7x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 33.3x | 23.1x | 9.4x | 16.7x | 9.9x | -472.3x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | 9.4x | 16.7x | 33.3x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -472.3x | -9.4x | -3.9x | |||||
| Selected P/E Multiple | -271.6x | -285.9x | -300.2x | |||||
| (x) LTM Net Income | (237) | (237) | (237) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 64,458 | 67,851 | 71,243 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 29,821.6 | 29,821.6 | 29,821.6 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 2.16 | 2.28 | 2.39 | |||||
| FX Rate: CNY/HKD | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2.31 | 2.43 | 2.55 | 4.77 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -51.6% | -49.1% | -46.5% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 603885 | 601021 | ULCC | FIA1S | NAS | 753 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 28,912 | 50,560 | 864 | 0 | 11,494 | 133,241 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,188.6 | 976.8 | 227.2 | 0.0 | 963.9 | 29,821.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 13.21 | 51.76 | 3.80 | 2.69 | 11.93 | 4.47 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.94 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 13.21 | 51.76 | 3.80 | 2.69 | 11.93 | 4.77 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | CNY | USD | EUR | NOK | HKD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.94 | |