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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 1.6x - 1.7x | 1.7x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 1.1x - 1.2x | 1.1x |
| Fair Value | HK$ 133.70 - HK$ 147.78 | HK$ 140.74 |
| Upside | 34.2% - 48.4% | 41.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| NIO Inc. | - | NYSE:NIO |
| XPeng Inc. | - | NYSE:XPEV |
| Chijet Motor Company, Inc. | - | NasdaqGM:CJET |
| Adobe Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:ADBE |
| Rivian Automotive, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:RIVN |
| Li Auto Inc. | 201,500.0% | SEHK:2015 |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| NIO | XPEV | CJET | ADBE | RIVN | 2015 | |||
| NYSE:NIO | NYSE:XPEV | NasdaqGM:CJET | NasdaqGS:ADBE | NasdaqGS:RIVN | SEHK:2015 | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 53.1% | 77.5% | NM- | 14.0% | NM- | 247.7% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 22.1% | 24.9% | -29.0% | 10.9% | 348.7% | 74.9% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 18.2% | 33.2% | 31.3% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 16.6% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -41.8% | -44.5% | -774.1% | 30.2% | -19580.5% | -9.8% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -38.0% | -33.8% | -516.4% | 28.0% | -122.5% | 9.5% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | -34.5% | -14.2% | -718.2% | 25.9% | -95.5% | 5.6% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -34.5% | -14.2% | -485.7% | 30.6% | -95.5% | 5.6% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -3.3x | -23.7x | -11.5x | 18.9x | -3.1x | 10.2x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.9x | 3.3x | 0.9x | 7.5x | 2.8x | 1.3x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | -2.5x | -23.5x | -0.2x | 24.4x | -3.0x | 23.2x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.9x | 2.8x | 7.5x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 1.3x | 3.6x | 28.6x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 1.6x | 1.7x | 1.7x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 144,460 | 144,460 | 144,460 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 227,629 | 239,610 | 251,590 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,857.3 | 1,857.3 | 1,857.3 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 122.56 | 129.01 | 135.46 | |||||
| FX Rate: CNY/HKD | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 131.26 | 138.17 | 145.07 | 99.60 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 31.8% | 38.7% | 45.7% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | NIO | XPEV | CJET | ADBE | RIVN | 2015 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 57,267 | 135,950 | 9 | 164,390 | 14,032 | 172,729 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,102.4 | 950.1 | 5.4 | 426.2 | 1,130.7 | 1,857.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 27.24 | 143.10 | 1.73 | 385.71 | 12.41 | 93.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 7.26 | 7.26 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.93 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 3.75 | 19.70 | 1.73 | 385.71 | 12.41 | 99.60 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | HKD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 7.26 | 7.26 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.93 | |