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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.9x - 1.0x | 1.0x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.6x - 0.6x | 0.6x |
Fair Value | HK$ 0.068 - HK$ 0.075 | HK$ 0.071 |
Upside | 21.1% - 33.8% | 27.5% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Zhongtian Construction (Hunan) Group Limited | 243,300.0% | SEHK:2433 |
Hebei Construction Group Corporation Limited | 172,700.0% | SEHK:1727 |
Hunan Baili Engineering Sci&Tech Co.,Ltd | 60,395,900.0% | SHSE:603959 |
Chengdu Road & Bridge Engineering CO.,LTD | 262,800.0% | SZSE:002628 |
China New Energy Limited | 115,600.0% | SEHK:1156 |
Wenye Group Holdings Limited | 180,200.0% | SEHK:1802 |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
2433 | 1727 | 603959 | 2628 | 1156 | 1802 | |||
SEHK:2433 | SEHK:1727 | SHSE:603959 | SZSE:002628 | SEHK:1156 | SEHK:1802 | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | -6.3% | 11.8% | -15.6% | -30.1% | -43.7% | ||
3Y CAGR | 3.3% | -5.9% | 13.8% | -18.8% | -56.9% | -59.8% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -10.3% | -23.0% | -52.5% | -34.6% | -54.0% | -84.0% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 2.7% | 0.8% | -10.6% | 1.8% | -52.5% | -66.7% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | -43.1% | -51.1% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 2.3% | 0.5% | -5.7% | 0.4% | -302.7% | -78.0% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 0.3% | 0.6% | -22.3% | -3.7% | -244.4% | -247.9% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | -2.5x | 1.1x | -9.0x | -29.6x | -0.7x | -3.5x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.0x | 0.0x | 1.4x | 3.7x | 1.3x | 1.0x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 11.0x | 3.9x | -6.1x | -101.0x | -0.5x | -0.4x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.0x | 1.3x | 3.7x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.0x | 0.7x | 2.7x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.9x | 1.0x | 1.0x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 32 | 32 | 32 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 29 | 31 | 33 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 594.0 | 594.0 | 594.0 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | |||||
FX Rate: CNY/HKD | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -5.3% | -0.3% | 4.7% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 2433 | 1727 | 603959 | 2628 | 1156 | 1802 | |
Value of Common Equity | 54 | 707 | 1,853 | 3,172 | 63 | 31 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 576.0 | 1,761.4 | 490.3 | 757.1 | 589.8 | 594.0 | |
Implied Stock Price | 0.09 | 0.40 | 3.78 | 4.19 | 0.11 | 0.05 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.93 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.93 | 0.93 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.10 | 0.43 | 3.78 | 4.19 | 0.11 | 0.06 | |
Trading Currency | HKD | HKD | CNY | CNY | HKD | HKD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.93 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.93 | 0.93 |