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301322 10.3%603766 10.0%9866 6.9%

觀察名單觀點 ProPicks AI 篩選器數據瀏覽圖表已儲存工作

比亞迪股份

SEHK:1211

中國 / 非必需消費品 / 汽車

DDM 多階段

股價

376.00 HKD

公允價值

545.13 HKD

Metrics	Range	Conclusion
Perpetuity Growth Rate	4.8% - 5.3%	5.0%
Discount Rate	9.0% - 8.0%	8.5%
Fair Value	HK$ 448.99 - HK$ 693.75	HK$ 545.13
Upside	21.7% - 88.1%	47.8%

3.41

Current Dividend per Share

0.9%

Current Dividend Yield

87.4%

3yr Avg Div Growth

142.5%

Ytd Div Growth

Dividend Discount Model: Multi Stage

股價

376.00 HKD

公允價值

545.13 HKD

看漲

47.8%

Project Adj Dividends

Perpetuity Growth Rate

Fair Value


Project Adjusted Dividends

		Fiscal Year Ending
(CNY in millions)	Dec-24	Dec-25	Dec-26	Dec-27	Dec-28		Dec-29	Terminal

Net Income to Common	40,224	54,347	64,047	76,307	77,574		82,544	82,544
% Growth	34.1%	35.1%	17.8%	19.1%	1.7%		6.4%

Payout Ratio	24.0%	37.0%	50.0%	63.0%	76.0%		90.0%	92.5%

Projected Dividends	9,636	20,108	32,023	48,073	58,956		74,289	76,353
% Growth		108.7%	59.3%	50.1%	22.6%		26.0%

支援算式

Historical Performance

Discounting Periods

Discounting Factors

Pv of Discrete Dividends

Pv of Terminal Dividends


Historical Performance

	Fiscal Year Ending						YTD	YTD
(CNY in millions)	Dec-20	Dec-21	Dec-22	Dec-23	Dec-24		Dec-23	Dec-24

Cash Dividends Paid	3,631	2,433	1,553	3,974	9,636		3,974	9,636
% Growth		-33%	-36%	156%	142%			142%

Net Income to Common	4,234	3,026	16,616	30,001	40,224		30,001	40,224
% Growth		-29%	449%	81%	34%			34%

Payout Ratio	86%	80%	9%	13%	24%		13%	24%
Retention Ratio	14%	20%	91%	87%	76%		87%	76%

Adjusted EBITDA	23,715	20,231	40,783	76,520	108,471		76,520	108,471
% Growth		-15%	102%	88%	42%			42%

Total Debt	52,282	35,393	21,829	46,886	40,460		46,886	40,460
Shareholder's Equity	56,874	95,070	111,029	138,810	185,251		138,810	185,251

Debt / EBITDA	2.2	1.7	0.5	0.6	0.4			0.3
Debt / Equity	92%	37%	20%	34%	22%		34%	22%


3-Yr Avg. Dividend Growth	87.4%
5-Yr Median Payout Ratio	24.0%

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