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觀察名單觀點 ProPicks AI 篩選器數據瀏覽圖表已儲存工作

Arriyadh dev

SASE:4150

沙特阿拉伯 / 地產 / 房地產管理及開發

DDM 多階段

股價

30.70 SAR

公允價值

40.20 SAR

Metrics	Range	Conclusion
Perpetuity Growth Rate	4.8% - 5.3%	5.0%
Discount Rate	8.6% - 7.6%	8.1%
Fair Value	﷼32.61 - ﷼52.58	﷼40.20
Upside	3.9% - 67.5%	28.0%

0.75

Current Dividend per Share

2.4%

Current Dividend Yield

-13.0%

3yr Avg Div Growth

48.2%

Ytd Div Growth

Dividend Discount Model: Multi Stage

股價

30.70 SAR

公允價值

40.20 SAR

看漲

28.0%

Project Adj Dividends

Perpetuity Growth Rate

Fair Value


Project Adjusted Dividends

		Fiscal Year Ending
(SAR in millions)	Dec-24	Dec-25	Dec-26	Dec-27	Dec-28		Dec-29	Terminal

Net Income to Common	296	459	432	258	375		386	386
% Growth	9.1%	54.8%	-5.9%	-40.2%	45.3%		2.9%

Payout Ratio	44.3%	53.0%	62.0%	71.0%	80.0%		90.0%	92.5%

Projected Dividends	131	243	268	183	300		347	357
% Growth		85.2%	10.1%	-31.5%	63.7%		15.7%

支援算式

Historical Performance

Discounting Periods

Discounting Factors

Pv of Discrete Dividends

Pv of Terminal Dividends


Historical Performance

	Fiscal Year Ending						YTD	YTD
(SAR in millions)	Dec-20	Dec-21	Dec-22	Dec-23	Dec-24		Dec-23	Dec-24

Cash Dividends Paid	176	289	132	89	131		89	131
% Growth		64%	-54%	-33%	48%			48%

Net Income to Common	228	318	300	272	296		272	296
% Growth		40%	-6%	-10%	9%			9%

Payout Ratio	77%	91%	44%	33%	44%		33%	44%
Retention Ratio	23%	9%	56%	67%	56%		67%	56%

Adjusted EBITDA	184	168	142	185	155		185	155
% Growth		-9%	-15%	31%	-17%			-17%

Total Debt	58	55	52	48	54		48	54
Shareholder's Equity	1,981	2,021	2,198	2,381	2,544		2,381	2,544

Debt / EBITDA	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.3			0.4
Debt / Equity	3%	3%	2%	2%	2%		2%	2%


3-Yr Avg. Dividend Growth	-13.0%
5-Yr Median Payout Ratio	44.3%

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