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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 133.8x - 147.9x | 140.9x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 26.8x - 29.6x | 28.2x |
| Fair Value | ﷼34.81 - ﷼44.57 | ﷼39.69 |
| Upside | -45.4% - -30.0% | -37.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Fawaz Abdulaziz Al Hokair & Company | 4240 | SASE:4240 |
| Saudi Company for Hardware SACO | 4008 | SASE:4008 |
| Jarir Marketing Company | 4190 | SASE:4190 |
| Fad International Company | 9589 | SASE:9589 |
| Al-Saif Stores for Development & Investment Company | 4192 | SASE:4192 |
| Saudi Automotive Services Company | 4050 | SASE:4050 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 4240 | 4008 | 4190 | 9589 | 4192 | 4050 | ||
| SASE:4240 | SASE:4008 | SASE:4190 | SASE:9589 | SASE:4192 | SASE:4050 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -16.1% | NM- | -0.3% | NM- | -41.7% | -14.5% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 1.3% | NM- | -58.0% | -23.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 3397.6% | 88.8% | 0.7% | NM | -86.2% | -72.4% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -2.9% | 0.5% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 14.3% | 2.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 0.1% | -4.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 1.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 3.3% | -0.5% | 9.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 3.3% | -0.5% | 9.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.93x | 1.67x | 1.47x | 0.69x | 3.73x | 0.85x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 14.7x | 51.7x | 14.3x | 17.4x | 79.9x | 48.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 27.8x | -367.6x | 15.2x | 40.5x | 210.9x | 180.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -367.6x | 27.8x | 210.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 24.5x | 39.3x | 180.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 133.8x | 140.9x | 147.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 48 | 48 | 48 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 6,368 | 6,703 | 7,038 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (4,055) | (4,055) | (4,055) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,313 | 2,649 | 2,984 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 70.0 | 70.0 | 70.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 33.05 | 37.84 | 42.63 | ||||
| FX Rate: SAR/SAR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 33.05 | 37.84 | 42.63 | 63.70 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -48.1% | -40.6% | -33.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 4240 | 4008 | 4190 | 9589 | 4192 | 4050 | |
| Enterprise Value | 4,295 | 1,664 | 15,886 | 110 | 2,730 | 8,514 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 256 | 17 | 33 | 14 | 68 | 201 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 328 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (3,390) | (522) | (792) | (22) | (240) | (4,256) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,515 | 1,159 | 15,168 | 102 | 2,559 | 4,459 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 114.8 | 35.9 | 1,200.0 | 1.2 | 350.0 | 70.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 13.20 | 32.30 | 12.64 | 84.90 | 7.31 | 63.70 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 13.20 | 32.30 | 12.64 | 84.90 | 7.31 | 63.70 | |
| Trading Currency | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |