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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 40.5x - 44.7x | 42.6x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 28.6x - 31.7x | 30.1x |
| Fair Value | ﷼43.42 - ﷼54.14 | ﷼48.78 |
| Upside | -15.3% - 5.6% | -4.8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati for Bookstores Company | 4191 | SASE:4191 |
| Fawaz Abdulaziz Al Hokair & Company | 4240 | SASE:4240 |
| Alhasoob Co. | 9522 | SASE:9522 |
| Saudi Company for Hardware SACO | 4008 | SASE:4008 |
| Al-Saif Stores for Development & Investment Company | 4192 | SASE:4192 |
| Saudi Automotive Services Company | 4050 | SASE:4050 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 4191 | 4240 | 9522 | 4008 | 4192 | 4050 | ||
| SASE:4191 | SASE:4240 | SASE:9522 | SASE:4008 | SASE:4192 | SASE:4050 | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 3.8% | -16.1% | -6.9% | NM- | -41.7% | 11.0% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -0.9% | NM- | -27.1% | NM- | -58.0% | 18.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -13.2% | 397.7% | 69.2% | 116.2% | -82.4% | 2.4% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 8.0% | -3.1% | 3.4% | 0.2% | 13.4% | 2.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 10.1% | 0.1% | 1.3% | -4.3% | 13.0% | 2.1% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 9.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | -0.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.0% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 3.05x | 1.25x | 0.42x | 1.43x | 3.82x | 0.71x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 29.4x | 14.2x | 21.4x | 38.5x | 72.9x | 24.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 34.1x | 21.0x | 21.9x | 330.9x | 184.2x | 42.0x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 21.0x | 34.1x | 330.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 24.5x | 39.3x | 86.0x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 40.5x | 42.6x | 44.7x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 184 | 184 | 184 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 7,427 | 7,818 | 8,209 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (4,094) | (4,094) | (4,094) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 3,333 | 3,724 | 4,115 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 70.0 | 70.0 | 70.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 47.62 | 53.20 | 58.79 | ||||
| FX Rate: SAR/SAR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 47.62 | 53.20 | 58.79 | 51.25 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -7.1% | 3.8% | 14.7% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 4191 | 4240 | 9522 | 4008 | 4192 | 4050 | |
| Enterprise Value | 803 | 6,065 | 109 | 1,451 | 2,639 | 7,681 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 4 | 124 | 19 | 30 | 16 | 200 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 5 | 233 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 503 | |
| (-) Debt | (53) | (3,217) | (2) | (460) | (195) | (4,686) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (112) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 760 | 3,230 | 126 | 1,021 | 2,461 | 3,588 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 20.0 | 114.8 | 2.8 | 35.9 | 350.0 | 70.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 37.98 | 28.14 | 45.00 | 28.44 | 7.03 | 51.25 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 37.98 | 28.14 | 45.00 | 28.44 | 7.03 | 51.25 | |
| Trading Currency | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | SAR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |