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股息
財報
模型
財務狀況
比較
穩健度
圖表
10 年 DCF 收入退出價
股價
79.50
SAR
公允價值
115.25
SAR
Metrics
Range
Conclusion
Discount Rate
8.5% - 7.5%
8.0%
Terminal Revenue Multiple
5.3x - 5.9x
5.6x
Fair Value
﷼107.68 - ﷼123.33
﷼115.25
Upside
37.5% - 57.5%
47.2%
6.4%
Revenue 10y CAGR
37.7%
10y Avg EBITDA Margin
15.5%
Unlevered FCF 10y CAGR
10-Year DCF Model: Revenue Exit
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儲存
股價
79.50
SAR
公允價值
115.25
SAR
看漲
47.2%
Revenue and EBITDA
CapEx
Working Capital
D&A
Tax Rate
Discount Rate
Terminal Value
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast
(SAR in millions)
Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending
Dec-24
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
Revenue
2,879
3,354
3,661
3,948
4,430
4,794
4,962
5,061
5,162
5,265
5,371
% Growth
6.4%
16.5%
9.1%
7.8%
12.2%
8.2%
3.5%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
EBITDA
956
1,221
1,205
1,270
1,696
1,898
1,964
2,004
2,044
2,085
2,126
% of Revenue
33.2%
36.4%
32.9%
32.2%
38.3%
39.6%
39.6%
39.6%
39.6%
39.6%
39.6%
支援算式
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Discounting Periods
Discounting Factors
Calculation of Enterprise Value
Equity Waterfall
Historical Financials
Current Trading Multiples
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
EBITDA
1,221
1,205
1,270
1,696
1,898
1,964
2,004
2,044
2,085
2,126
Other Income / (Exp)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
D&A
(272)
(259)
(227)
(473)
(457)
(473)
(482)
(492)
(502)
(512)
EBIT
949
946
1,043
1,223
1,441
1,491
1,521
1,552
1,583
1,614
Pro forma Taxes
(104)
(104)
(115)
(135)
(159)
(164)
(167)
(171)
(174)
(178)
NOPAT
644
845
842
928
1,088
1,282
1,327
1,354
1,381
1,409
1,437
Capital Expenditures
(429)
(149)
(153)
(363)
(189)
(198)
(205)
(197)
(200)
(201)
(199)
NWC Investment
(40)
(110)
(71)
(66)
(112)
(84)
(39)
(23)
(23)
(24)
(24)
(+) D&A
232
272
259
227
473
457
473
482
492
502
512
Free Cash Flow
407
858
877
726
1,261
1,457
1,557
1,616
1,650
1,686
1,725
% Growth
2%
-17%
74%
16%
7%
4%
2%
2%
2%
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