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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 12.0x - 13.2x | 12.6x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 10.0x - 11.1x | 10.6x |
| Fair Value | ﷼122.40 - ﷼134.01 | ﷼128.21 |
| Upside | -19.5% - -11.8% | -15.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Batic Investments and Logistics Company | 4110 | SASE:4110 |
| Waja Company | 9560 | SASE:9560 |
| Industries Qatar Q.P.S.C. | IQCD | DSM:IQCD |
| Companhia Habitasul de Participações | HBTS5 | BOVESPA:HBTS5 |
| Aamal Company Q.P.S.C. | AHCS | DSM:AHCS |
| Astra Industrial Group Company | 1212 | SASE:1212 |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 4110 | 9560 | IQCD | HBTS5 | AHCS | 1212 | ||
| SASE:4110 | SASE:9560 | DSM:IQCD | BOVESPA:HBTS5 | DSM:AHCS | SASE:1212 | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -64.9% | NM- | 165.6% | NM- | 4.2% | 20.5% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -82.1% | 14.7% | -19.0% | NM- | 8.1% | 18.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -99.5% | 58.7% | 11.3% | -132.8% | 9.3% | 18.9% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 8.1% | 21.0% | 30.8% | -112.5% | 18.8% | 19.0% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 10.7% | 21.2% | 27.0% | 54.9% | 17.9% | 21.9% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 0.0% | 20.5% | 27.9% | -108.3% | 19.4% | 24.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 0.0% | 15.8% | 27.9% | -108.3% | 19.4% | 24.0% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 3.33x | 2.75x | 4.58x | 3.31x | 2.35x | 3.70x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 6876.1x | 17.3x | 16.4x | -3.1x | 12.1x | 15.4x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -30.8x | 17.8x | 29.1x | -3.0x | 13.0x | 17.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -3.1x | 16.4x | 6876.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.1x | 10.2x | 16.6x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.0x | 12.6x | 13.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 734 | 734 | 734 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 8,773 | 9,235 | 9,696 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 969 | 969 | 969 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 9,742 | 10,204 | 10,666 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 80.0 | 80.0 | 80.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 121.78 | 127.55 | 133.32 | ||||
| FX Rate: SAR/SAR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 121.78 | 127.55 | 133.32 | 152.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -19.9% | -16.1% | -12.3% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 4110 | 9560 | IQCD | HBTS5 | AHCS | 1212 | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,595 | 525 | 57,984 | 175 | 4,939 | 11,191 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 159 | 12 | 11,118 | 38 | 211 | 846 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 6 | 8,304 | 333 | 492 | 647 | |
| (-) Debt | (320) | (25) | (455) | (271) | (419) | (516) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (902) | (0) | (0) | (7) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,434 | 519 | 76,049 | 274 | 5,223 | 12,160 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 600.0 | 70.0 | 6,050.0 | 9.1 | 6,300.0 | 80.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2.39 | 7.41 | 12.57 | 30.00 | 0.83 | 152.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.39 | 7.41 | 12.57 | 30.00 | 0.83 | 152.00 | |
| Trading Currency | SAR | SAR | QAR | BRL | QAR | SAR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |