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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 4.8x - 5.3x | 5.0x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 4.1x - 4.6x | 4.3x |
| Fair Value | ₱3.68 - ₱4.07 | ₱3.88 |
| Upside | -28.7% - -21.2% | -25.0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Alternergy Holdings Corporation | - | PSE:ALTER |
| SP New Energy Corporation | - | PSE:SPNEC |
| Acen Corporation | - | PSE:ACEN |
| SPC Power Corporation | - | PSE:SPC |
| Aboitiz Power Corporation | - | PSE:AP |
| Repower Energy Development Corporation | - | PSE:REDC |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| ALTER | SPNEC | ACEN | SPC | AP | REDC | |||
| PSE:ALTER | PSE:SPNEC | PSE:ACEN | PSE:SPC | PSE:AP | PSE:REDC | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 18.0% | 1.6% | 9.3% | NM- | ||
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | 12.2% | 7.1% | 13.5% | 49.7% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -21.4% | 88.9% | 0.8% | 5.6% | -4.9% | 14.6% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 8.5% | 330.4% | 29.6% | 50.1% | 16.0% | 23.2% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -2.0% | 898.1% | 18.5% | 39.1% | 16.0% | 36.4% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 5.3% | -133.6% | 20.2% | 42.9% | 17.3% | 36.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -1.3% | -133.6% | 20.2% | 42.9% | 17.3% | 25.6% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 33.6x | -100.0x | 27.6x | 5.1x | 7.1x | 15.7x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 7.8x | 53.0x | 2.8x | 4.2x | 1.3x | 6.4x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | -576.0x | -39.6x | 14.0x | 9.8x | 7.7x | 25.0x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 1.3x | 4.2x | 53.0x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 10.0x | 10.0x | 10.0x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 4.8x | 5.0x | 5.3x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 524 | 524 | 524 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,512 | 2,644 | 2,777 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 650.0 | 650.0 | 650.0 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 3.86 | 4.07 | 4.27 | |||||
| FX Rate: PHP/PHP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3.86 | 4.07 | 4.27 | 5.17 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -25.2% | -21.3% | -17.4% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | ALTER | SPNEC | ACEN | SPC | AP | REDC | |
| Value of Common Equity | 4,091 | 63,593 | 104,352 | 12,796 | 260,492 | 3,361 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 3,933.8 | 50,073.1 | 39,677.4 | 1,496.6 | 7,205.9 | 650.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1.04 | 1.27 | 2.63 | 8.55 | 36.15 | 5.17 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1.04 | 1.27 | 2.63 | 8.55 | 36.15 | 5.17 | |
| Trading Currency | PHP | PHP | PHP | PHP | PHP | PHP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |