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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 47.0x - 52.0x | 49.5x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 26.9x - 29.7x | 28.3x |
| Fair Value | ₱1.62 - ₱1.83 | ₱1.72 |
| Upside | -33.5% - -25.2% | -29.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Global Ferronickel Holdings, Inc. | FNI | PSE:FNI |
| Benguet Corporation | BCB | PSE:BCB |
| Oriental Peninsula Resources Group, Inc. | ORE | PSE:ORE |
| Marcventures Holdings, Inc. | MARC | PSE:MARC |
| TKC Metals Corporation | T | PSE:T |
| Century Peak Holdings Corporation | CPM | PSE:CPM |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| FNI | BCB | ORE | MARC | T | CPM | ||
| PSE:FNI | PSE:BCB | PSE:ORE | PSE:MARC | PSE:T | PSE:CPM | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -13.6% | NM- | NM- | 5.8% | NM- | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | -33.3% | -33.9% | NM- | -39.6% | NM- | -21.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -31.1% | 132.2% | 30.0% | 50.9% | 100.7% | -74.5% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 32.1% | 29.4% | -17.1% | 19.4% | -323.1% | -15.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 33.0% | 27.0% | -55.3% | 18.0% | -149.0% | 0.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 12.9% | 19.0% | -59.6% | 14.2% | NA | 5.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 19.8% | 29.8% | -23.6% | 21.0% | -19.1% | 3.5% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.23x | -0.01x | 0.97x | 0.45x | -307.03x | 2.50x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 0.8x | 0.0x | -6.1x | 1.6x | 155.2x | 12.5x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 1.1x | 0.0x | -4.1x | 2.1x | 1607.5x | 70.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -4.1x | 1.1x | 1607.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -223.8x | -51.4x | 41.6x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 47.0x | 49.5x | 52.0x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 109 | 109 | 109 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 5,126 | 5,395 | 5,665 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (836) | (836) | (836) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 4,290 | 4,560 | 4,830 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,820.3 | 2,820.3 | 2,820.3 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1.52 | 1.62 | 1.71 | ||||
| FX Rate: PHP/PHP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.52 | 1.62 | 1.71 | 2.44 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -37.7% | -33.7% | -29.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | FNI | BCB | ORE | MARC | T | CPM | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,698 | (136) | 877 | 954 | 2,813 | 7,717 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1,493 | 3,106 | 95 | 894 | 1 | 181 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 4,870 | 0 | 369 | 0 | 0 | 12 | |
| (-) Debt | (748) | (14) | (134) | (69) | (2,357) | (1,066) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (138) | 0 | (156) | 0 | 75 | 38 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 7,175 | 2,955 | 1,051 | 1,779 | 532 | 6,882 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 5,125.2 | 715.6 | 2,878.5 | 3,014.8 | 1,690.0 | 2,820.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1.40 | 4.13 | 0.37 | 0.59 | 0.32 | 2.44 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1.40 | 4.13 | 0.37 | 0.59 | 0.32 | 2.44 | |
| Trading Currency | PHP | PHP | PHP | PHP | PHP | PHP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |