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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 15.0x - 16.6x | 15.8x |
| Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 13.1x - 14.5x | 13.8x |
| Fair Value | $31.06 - $34.33 | $32.70 |
| Upside | -8.1% - 1.6% | -3.2% |
| Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
| SSP Group plc | - | LSE:SSPG |
| InterContinental Hotels Group PLC | - | LSE:IHG |
| PPHE Hotel Group Limited | - | LSE:PPH |
| Banyan Tree Holdings Limited | - | SGX:B58 |
| The Hongkong and Shanghai Hotels, Limited | - | OTCPK:HKSH.F |
| Whitbread plc | - | OTCPK:WTBC.F |
| - | - | - |
| Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| SSPG | IHG | PPH | B58 | HKSH.F | WTBC.F | |||
| LSE:SSPG | LSE:IHG | LSE:PPH | SGX:B58 | OTCPK:HKSH.F | OTCPK:WTBC.F | |||
| Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -26.4% | 10.3% | -3.6% | 130.2% | NM- | 12.0% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 33.2% | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 238.3% | -16.3% | 25.8% | 32.8% | -745.9% | -29.4% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -17.7% | 8.0% | -24.2% | -14.0% | -16.7% | -15.1% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 0.3% | 16.2% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 1.8% | 10.6% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 0.8% | 12.8% | 6.4% | 11.1% | -9.2% | 10.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 0.8% | 12.8% | 6.4% | 11.1% | -9.2% | 8.1% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.0x | 16.9x | 13.6x | 9.5x | 16.0x | 11.2x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.3x | 3.1x | 1.2x | 0.8x | 0.9x | 1.4x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 41.8x | 24.5x | 19.0x | 7.3x | -10.2x | 17.9x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -10.2x | 19.0x | 41.8x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -48.9x | 4.8x | 21.0x | |||||
| Selected P/E Multiple | 15.0x | 15.8x | 16.6x | |||||
| (x) LTM Net Income | 239 | 239 | 239 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 3,579 | 3,767 | 3,956 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 175.6 | 175.6 | 175.6 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 20.38 | 21.46 | 22.53 | |||||
| FX Rate: GBP/USD | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 26.24 | 27.62 | 29.00 | 33.79 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -22.4% | -18.3% | -14.2% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | SSPG | IHG | PPH | B58 | HKSH.F | WTBC.F | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,144 | 15,371 | 536 | 308 | 10,135 | 4,609 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 799.8 | 156.3 | 41.8 | 866.5 | 1,666.9 | 175.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1.43 | 98.33 | 12.82 | 0.36 | 6.08 | 26.25 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.29 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 7.77 | 0.78 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1.43 | 76.38 | 12.82 | 0.36 | 0.78 | 33.79 | |
| Trading Currency | GBP | GBP | GBP | SGD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.29 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 7.77 | 0.78 | |