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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 12.6x - 13.9x | 13.2x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 11.3x - 12.5x | 11.9x |
Fair Value | $0.84 - $1.21 | $1.02 |
Upside | -31.3% - -1.1% | -16.2% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Thunderbird Entertainment Group Inc. | TBRD | TSXV:TBRD |
Boat Rocker Media Inc. | BRMI | TSX:BRMI |
Netflix, Inc. | NFLX * | BMV:NFLX* |
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. | WBD * | BMV:WBD* |
Icarus Capital Corp. | ICRS | TSXV:ICRS |
WildBrain Ltd. | WLDB.F | OTCPK:WLDB.F |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
TBRD | BRMI | NFLX * | WBD * | ICRS | WLDB.F | ||
TSXV:TBRD | TSX:BRMI | BMV:NFLX* | BMV:WBD* | TSXV:ICRS | OTCPK:WLDB.F | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 8.8% | -1.2% | 31.7% | 10.6% | NM- | 11.0% | |
3Y CAGR | -3.1% | NM- | 18.8% | 28.0% | NM- | 16.5% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 64.1% | -140.0% | 47.0% | 3.5% | NM | -9.7% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 20.7% | 1.7% | 20.9% | 25.4% | -9.0% | 17.3% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 14.9% | 3.9% | 21.7% | 17.9% | NA | 19.3% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 16.6% | -3.9% | 27.6% | 19.5% | -35.9% | 23.5% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 12.5% | -3.9% | 27.6% | 19.5% | NA | 17.5% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.40x | 0.27x | 10.48x | 1.61x | 0.68x | 2.45x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.2x | -7.0x | 38.0x | 8.3x | NA | 14.0x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 8.9x | -5.5x | 39.2x | 100.0x | -3.6x | 16.4x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -7.0x | 5.7x | 38.0x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.3x | 12.8x | 18.6x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.6x | 13.2x | 13.9x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 83 | 83 | 83 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,048 | 1,103 | 1,158 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (793) | (793) | (793) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 255 | 310 | 365 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 212.1 | 212.1 | 212.1 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 1.20 | 1.46 | 1.72 | ||||
FX Rate: CAD/USD | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.86 | 1.04 | 1.23 | 1.22 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -29.8% | -14.6% | 0.6% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | TBRD | BRMI | NFLX * | WBD * | ICRS | WLDB.F | |
Enterprise Value | 71 | 52 | 418,220 | 63,787 | 1 | 1,156 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 38 | 87 | 9,584 | 5,329 | 0 | 82 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 16 | 0 | 1,098 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (27) | (108) | (17,995) | (43,006) | (1) | (599) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (0) | 0 | (901) | 0 | (275) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 83 | 47 | 409,808 | 26,307 | 0 | 363 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 50.1 | 56.8 | 427.8 | 2,454.8 | 6.6 | 212.1 | |
Implied Stock Price | 1.65 | 0.82 | 958.04 | 10.72 | 0.02 | 1.71 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 1.40 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1.65 | 0.82 | 19,133.69 | 214.03 | 0.02 | 1.22 | |
Trading Currency | CAD | CAD | MXN | MXN | CAD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 1.40 |