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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Pb Multiple | 0.3x - 0.4x | 0.4x |
Historical Pb Multiple | 0.2x - 1.2x | 0.5x |
Fair Value | $0.44 - $0.48 | $0.46 |
Upside | 42.2% - 57.2% | 49.7% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Canfor Pulp Products Inc. | - | TSX:CFX |
Stella-Jones Inc. | - | TSX:SJ |
Clearwater Paper Corporation | - | NYSE:CLW |
Mercer International Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:MERC |
WestBond Enterprises Corporation | - | TSXV:WBE |
Western Forest Products Inc. | - | OTCPK:WFST.F |
Select Price / Book Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
CFX | SJ | CLW | MERC | WBE | WFST.F | |||
TSX:CFX | TSX:SJ | NYSE:CLW | NasdaqGS:MERC | TSXV:WBE | OTCPK:WFST.F | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | 14.4% | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | ||
3Y CAGR | NM- | 12.0% | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -68.5% | -2.1% | -441.2% | 60.2% | -136.2% | 55.6% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -7.5% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 6.2% | 1.4% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | -11.0% | 9.8% | 4.3% | -12.1% | 5.2% | -6.7% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | -20.3% | 9.2% | -5.3% | -4.2% | -2.3% | -2.9% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -20.3% | 9.2% | -5.2% | -4.5% | -1.3% | -2.9% | ||
Return on Equity | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -18.4% | 16.8% | 4.5% | -0.1% | 11.8% | 6.2% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | -25.1% | 20.3% | 7.8% | -32.8% | 7.4% | -11.3% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -63.1% | 17.8% | -10.2% | -18.0% | -1.6% | -5.4% | ||
Next Fiscal Year | 9.1% | 15.0% | 2.2% | -5.4% | 6.2% | -3.6% | ||
Two Fiscal Years Forward | 8.8% | 14.3% | 5.6% | -4.1% | 5.8% | -1.9% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.1x | 1.1x | 0.3x | 0.1x | 0.5x | 0.1x | ||
Price / LTM EPS | -0.3x | 12.3x | -5.6x | -2.6x | -33.9x | -4.4x | ||
Price / Book | 0.3x | 2.0x | 0.5x | 0.5x | 0.5x | 0.2x | ||
Price / Fwd Book | 0.2x | 1.9x | 0.5x | 0.6x | 0.5x | 0.3x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark P/B Ratio | 0.3x | 0.5x | 2.0x | |||||
Historical P/B Ratio | 0.2x | 0.5x | 1.2x | |||||
Selected P/B Multiple | 0.3x | 0.4x | 0.4x | |||||
(x) Book Value | 558 | 558 | 558 |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | CFX | SJ | CLW | MERC | WBE | WFST.F | |
Value of Common Equity | 47 | 3,927 | 423 | 225 | 4 | 135 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 65.2 | 55.6 | 16.3 | 66.8 | 35.6 | 316.7 | |
Implied Stock Price | 0.72 | 70.59 | 26.03 | 3.37 | 0.12 | 0.43 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.39 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.72 | 70.59 | 26.03 | 3.37 | 0.12 | 0.31 | |
Trading Currency | CAD | CAD | USD | USD | CAD | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.39 |