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SYNT -6.7%CAR -5.6%4118 4.5%

觀察名單觀點 ProPicks AI 篩選器數據瀏覽圖表已儲存工作 WarrenAI

Victrex plc

OTCPK:VTXPF

英國 / 材料 / 化學品

10 年 DCF 收入退出價

股價

9.58 USD

公允價值

15.40 USD

Metrics	Range	Conclusion
Discount Rate	10.3% - 9.3%	9.8%
Terminal Revenue Multiple	3.9x - 4.3x	4.1x
Fair Value	$14.45 - $16.41	$15.40
Upside	50.9% - 71.3%	60.8%

1.9%

Revenue 10y CAGR

34.4%

10y Avg EBITDA Margin

7.4%

Unlevered FCF 10y CAGR

10-Year DCF Model: Revenue Exit

股價

9.58 USD

公允價值

15.40 USD

看漲

60.8%

Revenue and EBITDA

CapEx

Working Capital

D&A

Tax Rate

Discount Rate

Terminal Value


Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast

(GBP in millions)		Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending	Sep-24	Sep-25	Sep-26	Sep-27	Sep-28	Sep-29	Sep-30	Sep-31	Sep-32	Sep-33	Sep-34

Revenue	291	299	322	339	356	350	350	350	350	350	350
% Growth	-5.2%	2.6%	7.7%	5.4%	5.0%	-1.7%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

EBITDA	76	89	100	112	127	125	125	125	125	125	125
% of Revenue	25.9%	29.8%	31.1%	33.0%	35.7%	35.7%	35.7%	35.7%	35.7%	35.7%	35.7%

支援算式

Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Discounting Periods

Discounting Factors

Calculation of Enterprise Value

Equity Waterfall

Historical Financials

Current Trading Multiples


Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
		Sep-25	Sep-26	Sep-27	Sep-28	Sep-29	Sep-30	Sep-31	Sep-32	Sep-33	Sep-34

EBITDA		89	100	112	127	125	125	125	125	125	125
Other Income / (Exp)		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
D&A		(24)	(26)	(26)	(28)	(16)	(16)	(16)	(16)	(16)	(16)

EBIT		65	74	86	99	109	109	109	109	109	109
Pro forma Taxes		(13)	(15)	(17)	(20)	(22)	(22)	(22)	(22)	(22)	(22)
NOPAT	44	52	60	69	79	87	87	87	87	87	87

Capital Expenditures	(33)	(28)	(30)	(30)	(24)	(23)	(23)	(23)	(23)	(23)	(23)
NWC Investment	7	(3)	(10)	(8)	(8)	3	0	0	0	0	0
(+) D&A	20	24	26	26	28	16	16	16	16	16	16

Free Cash Flow	39	45	45	57	76	83	80	80	80	80	80
% Growth			0%	28%	33%	9%	-3%	0%	0%	0%	0%

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