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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 13.0x - 14.3x | 13.7x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 10.3x - 11.4x | 10.8x |
| Fair Value | $30.86 - $34.35 | $32.60 |
| Upside | -23.5% - -14.9% | -19.2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Sandvik AB (publ) | SAND | OM:SAND |
| AB SKF (publ) | SKF A | OM:SKFA |
| Dätwyler Holding AG | DAE | SWX:DAE |
| The Weir Group PLC | 42W | DB:42W |
| Donaldson Company, Inc. | DNZ | DB:DNZ |
| Trelleborg AB (publ) | TBAB.F | OTCPK:TBAB.F |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| SAND | SKF A | DAE | 42W | DNZ | TBAB.F | ||
| OM:SAND | OM:SKFA | SWX:DAE | DB:42W | DB:DNZ | OTCPK:TBAB.F | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 2.2% | 3.3% | -0.4% | 2.7% | 6.5% | 2.9% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 3.7% | 2.9% | -4.6% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 14.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -12.9% | -3.0% | -1.7% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 0.9% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 21.6% | 13.5% | 19.6% | 16.7% | 17.1% | 19.0% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 22.2% | 13.6% | 16.9% | 16.5% | 17.3% | 20.1% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 19.9% | 13.9% | 17.2% | 18.2% | 18.1% | 20.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 19.9% | 13.9% | 17.2% | 18.2% | 18.1% | 20.4% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.65x | 1.11x | 2.26x | 2.67x | 2.32x | 2.88x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 13.3x | 8.0x | 13.1x | 14.6x | 12.8x | 14.2x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 17.1x | 10.3x | 21.2x | 17.1x | 15.2x | 18.0x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.0x | 13.1x | 14.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 11.5x | 13.2x | 15.6x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 13.0x | 13.7x | 14.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 6,963 | 6,963 | 6,963 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 90,377 | 95,134 | 99,890 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (6,345) | (6,345) | (6,345) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 84,032 | 88,789 | 93,545 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 274.2 | 274.2 | 274.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 306.48 | 323.83 | 341.18 | ||||
| FX Rate: SEK/USD | 10.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 30.54 | 32.27 | 34.00 | 40.34 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -24.3% | -20.0% | -15.7% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | SAND | SKF A | DAE | 42W | DNZ | TBAB.F | |
| Enterprise Value | 328,936 | 110,028 | 2,526 | 6,648 | 8,356 | 117,349 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 4,528 | 11,093 | 127 | 556 | 189 | 2,163 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 634 | 1,909 | 2 | 13 | 98 | 57 | |
| (-) Debt | (42,755) | (20,760) | (574) | (1,091) | (577) | (8,561) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (75) | (2,320) | 0 | (9) | 0 | (4) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 291,268 | 99,950 | 2,081 | 6,117 | 8,065 | 111,004 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,254.4 | 455.4 | 17.0 | 257.6 | 119.5 | 274.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 232.20 | 219.50 | 122.40 | 23.75 | 67.48 | 404.85 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.83 | 1.08 | 10.04 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 232.20 | 219.50 | 122.40 | 28.48 | 62.50 | 40.34 | |
| Trading Currency | SEK | SEK | CHF | EUR | EUR | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.83 | 1.08 | 10.04 | |