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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 1.6x - 1.8x | 1.7x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 2.9x - 3.2x | 3.1x |
| Fair Value | $0.032 - $0.041 | $0.037 |
| Upside | 8.0% - 35.7% | 21.8% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Industrias Bachoco, S.A.B. de C.V. | IDBH.F | OTCPK:IDBH.F |
| Nok Airlines Public Company Limited | NOKP.F | OTCPK:NOKP.F |
| American Airlines Group Inc. | AAL | NasdaqGS:AAL |
| China Eastern Airlines Corporation Limited | CHEA.F | OTCPK:CHEA.F |
| China Southern Airlines Company Limited | CHKI.F | OTCPK:CHKI.F |
| Thai Airways International Public Company Limited | TAWN.F | OTCPK:TAWN.F |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| IDBH.F | NOKP.F | AAL | CHEA.F | CHKI.F | TAWN.F | ||
| OTCPK:IDBH.F | OTCPK:NOKP.F | NasdaqGS:AAL | OTCPK:CHEA.F | OTCPK:CHKI.F | OTCPK:TAWN.F | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 19.9% | NM- | -2.0% | -8.7% | -3.0% | 46.1% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 20.4% | NM- | NM- | NM- | 189.1% | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 51.7% | -251.0% | -10.9% | 53.0% | 14.4% | 8.2% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 9.7% | -40.5% | -5.7% | -8.7% | 1.1% | -33.6% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 9.1% | -20.3% | 11.9% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 25.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 13.1% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 23.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 13.1% | -6.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 23.5% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | -0.01x | 1.37x | 0.66x | 1.86x | 1.75x | 0.37x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -0.1x | -22.7x | 6.3x | 21.1x | 18.4x | 1.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -0.1x | -97.1x | 10.5x | 1030.4x | 55.7x | 1.7x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -22.7x | 6.3x | 21.1x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -183.4x | -4.2x | 3.0x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.6x | 1.7x | 1.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 43,937 | 43,937 | 43,937 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 72,070 | 75,863 | 79,656 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (43,926) | (43,926) | (43,926) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 28,144 | 31,937 | 35,730 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 28,303.3 | 28,303.3 | 28,303.3 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.99 | 1.13 | 1.26 | ||||
| FX Rate: THB/USD | 33.5 | 33.5 | 33.5 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.03 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -1.0% | 12.3% | 25.7% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | IDBH.F | NOKP.F | AAL | CHEA.F | CHKI.F | TAWN.F | |
| Enterprise Value | (1,020) | 10,519 | 35,533 | 294,619 | 314,893 | 72,356 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 11,595 | 303 | 7,618 | 4,243 | 18,689 | 84,212 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 3 | 515 | 4,147 | 9,975 | 682 | |
| (-) Debt | (9,944) | (11,702) | (37,544) | (177,962) | (223,447) | (128,741) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (442) | 1,002 | 0 | (877) | (17,866) | (79) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 190 | 125 | 6,122 | 124,170 | 102,244 | 28,430 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 599.4 | 3,729.2 | 657.6 | 49,221.7 | 30,463.7 | 28,303.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.32 | 0.03 | 9.31 | 2.52 | 3.36 | 1.00 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 19.66 | 33.48 | 1.00 | 7.31 | 7.31 | 33.48 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.02 | 0.00 | 9.31 | 0.35 | 0.46 | 0.03 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 19.66 | 33.48 | 1.00 | 7.31 | 7.31 | 33.48 | |