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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 10.6x - 11.7x | 11.2x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 9.4x - 10.4x | 9.9x |
| Fair Value | $5.02 - $5.59 | $5.31 |
| Upside | -7.9% - 2.7% | -2.6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| BAE Systems plc | BA. | LSE:BA. |
| Cohort plc | CHRT | AIM:CHRT |
| Melrose Industries PLC | MRO | LSE:MRO |
| Lockheed Martin Corporation | 0R3E | LSE:0R3E |
| Northrop Grumman Corporation | 0K92 | LSE:0K92 |
| QinetiQ Group plc | QNTQ.F | OTCPK:QNTQ.F |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| BA. | CHRT | MRO | 0R3E | 0K92 | QNTQ.F | ||
| LSE:BA. | AIM:CHRT | LSE:MRO | LSE:0R3E | LSE:0K92 | OTCPK:QNTQ.F | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 8.5% | 23.1% | NM- | -1.4% | 13.0% | 12.1% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 10.3% | 32.2% | NM- | -2.8% | -10.0% | 16.6% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 4.7% | 41.7% | -114.3% | -20.7% | 106.8% | 56.4% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 9.6% | 8.3% | -2.5% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 11.1% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 10.2% | 8.3% | 1.7% | 13.4% | 6.7% | 11.4% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 9.4% | 10.4% | -0.2% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 11.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.4% | 11.2% | -0.2% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 11.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.02x | 2.24x | 2.39x | 1.73x | 2.12x | 1.16x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 16.4x | 16.4x | 23.8x | 14.7x | 12.7x | 7.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 21.5x | 20.0x | -1035.5x | 17.1x | 15.9x | 10.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -1035.5x | 17.1x | 21.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 8.3x | 12.8x | 13.0x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 10.6x | 11.2x | 11.7x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 224 | 224 | 224 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 2,380 | 2,505 | 2,631 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (197) | (197) | (197) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,183 | 2,308 | 2,433 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 554.3 | 554.3 | 554.3 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 3.94 | 4.16 | 4.39 | ||||
| FX Rate: GBP/USD | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 5.08 | 5.37 | 5.66 | 5.45 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -6.9% | -1.5% | 3.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | BA. | CHRT | MRO | 0R3E | 0K92 | QNTQ.F | |
| Enterprise Value | 53,426 | 521 | 8,179 | 123,221 | 86,906 | 2,541 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 3,427 | 75 | 88 | 2,483 | 4,353 | 190 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 849 | 0 | 77 | 654 | 347 | 3 | |
| (-) Debt | (10,316) | (46) | (1,646) | (21,418) | (18,396) | (389) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (161) | (1) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 47,225 | 550 | 6,698 | 104,940 | 73,210 | 2,344 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 2,997.4 | 45.2 | 1,280.7 | 235.4 | 144.8 | 554.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 15.76 | 12.15 | 5.23 | 445.82 | 505.75 | 4.23 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.78 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 15.76 | 12.15 | 5.23 | 445.82 | 505.75 | 5.45 | |
| Trading Currency | GBP | GBP | GBP | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.78 | |