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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 8.0x - 8.8x | 8.4x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 7.1x - 7.9x | 7.5x |
| Fair Value | $2.12 - $2.38 | $2.25 |
| Upside | -10.7% - 0.1% | -5.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Bakkavor Group plc | BAKK | LSE:BAKK |
| Cranswick plc | CWK | LSE:CWK |
| Associated British Foods plc | ABF | LSE:ABF |
| Tate & Lyle plc | TATE | LSE:TATE |
| Hilton Food Group plc | HFG | LSE:HFG |
| Premier Foods plc | PFOD.F | OTCPK:PFOD.F |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| BAKK | CWK | ABF | TATE | HFG | PFOD.F | ||
| LSE:BAKK | LSE:CWK | LSE:ABF | LSE:TATE | LSE:HFG | OTCPK:PFOD.F | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 4.2% | 15.2% | 5.9% | -7.5% | 18.1% | 37.6% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 4.4% | 10.0% | 20.0% | 0.6% | 12.7% | 11.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 10.4% | 22.3% | 27.2% | 1.6% | 34.8% | 15.4% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 18.7% | 3.6% | 17.2% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 17.0% | 3.1% | 17.0% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 7.4% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 3.6% | 19.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 19.9% | 4.1% | 18.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.55x | 1.03x | 0.77x | 1.44x | 0.29x | 1.59x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.4x | 10.4x | 6.1x | 7.3x | 7.1x | 8.4x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 10.9x | 14.5x | 8.1x | 9.4x | 10.7x | 10.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.1x | 7.3x | 10.4x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.6x | 7.9x | 8.3x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.0x | 8.4x | 8.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 216 | 216 | 216 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,720 | 1,811 | 1,901 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (221) | (221) | (221) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,499 | 1,590 | 1,680 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 864.3 | 864.3 | 864.3 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1.73 | 1.84 | 1.94 | ||||
| FX Rate: GBP/USD | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2.25 | 2.38 | 2.52 | 2.38 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -5.5% | 0.3% | 6.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | BAKK | CWK | ABF | TATE | HFG | PFOD.F | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,245 | 2,719 | 15,413 | 2,236 | 1,106 | 1,807 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 31 | 8 | 1,658 | 594 | 95 | 114 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 1 | 411 | 27 | 12 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (307) | (116) | (3,678) | (555) | (451) | (335) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (92) | (1) | (11) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 969 | 2,612 | 13,712 | 2,301 | 752 | 1,585 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 575.2 | 53.7 | 721.1 | 439.9 | 89.8 | 864.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1.69 | 48.65 | 19.02 | 5.23 | 8.37 | 1.83 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.77 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1.69 | 48.65 | 19.02 | 5.23 | 8.37 | 2.38 | |
| Trading Currency | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.77 | |