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Norsk Hydro ASA
OTCPK:NHYKF
挪威 / 材料 / 金屬和採礦
貨幣
$
加入觀察名單
綜觀
股息
財報
模型
財務狀況
比較
穩健度
圖表
10 年 DCF 增長退出價
股價
5.83
USD
公允價值
10.37
USD
Metrics
Range
Conclusion
Discount Rate
10.0% - 9.0%
9.5%
Perpetuity Growth Rate
0.5% - 1.5%
1.0%
Fair Value
$9.52 - $11.44
$10.37
Upside
56.0% - 87.5%
70.0%
2.1%
Revenue 10y CAGR
17.0%
10y Avg EBITDA Margin
-2.2%
Unlevered FCF 10y CAGR
10-Year DCF Model: Gordon Growth Exit
分享
儲存
股價
5.83
USD
公允價值
10.37
USD
看漲
70.0%
Revenue and EBITDA
CapEx
Working Capital
D&A
Tax Rate
Discount Rate
Terminal Value
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast
(NOK in millions)
Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending
Dec-24
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
Revenue
203,636
213,841
217,024
212,751
223,017
227,477
232,026
236,667
241,400
246,228
251,153
% Growth
5.2%
5.0%
1.5%
-2.0%
4.8%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
EBITDA
52,376
35,070
34,805
35,133
38,645
39,418
40,206
41,010
41,831
42,667
43,521
% of Revenue
25.7%
16.4%
16.0%
16.5%
17.3%
17.3%
17.3%
17.3%
17.3%
17.3%
17.3%
支援算式
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Discounting Periods
Discounting Factors
Calculation of Enterprise Value
Equity Waterfall
Historical Financials
Current Trading Multiples
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
(NOK in millions)
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
Terminal
EBITDA
35,070
34,805
35,133
38,645
39,418
40,206
41,010
41,831
42,667
43,521
43,521
Other Income / (Exp)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
D&A
(10,073)
(10,150)
(10,374)
(9,457)
(9,646)
(9,839)
(10,036)
(10,237)
(10,441)
(10,650)
(12,473)
EBIT
24,997
24,655
24,759
29,188
29,772
30,367
30,975
31,594
32,226
32,870
31,047
Pro forma Taxes
(6,999)
(6,903)
(6,933)
(8,173)
(8,336)
(8,503)
(8,673)
(8,846)
(9,023)
(9,204)
(8,693)
NOPAT
30,424
17,998
17,751
17,826
21,015
21,436
21,864
22,302
22,748
23,203
23,667
22,354
Capital Expenditures
(13,555)
(15,023)
(15,000)
(14,950)
(11,578)
(13,843)
(13,457)
(12,959)
(13,218)
(13,211)
(13,130)
(13,130)
NWC Investment
(1,113)
(1,134)
(354)
475
(1,141)
(496)
(506)
(516)
(526)
(537)
(547)
(279)
(+) D&A
10,120
10,073
10,150
10,374
9,457
9,646
9,839
10,036
10,237
10,441
10,650
12,473
Free Cash Flow
25,876
11,913
12,548
13,725
17,754
16,744
17,741
18,863
19,240
19,896
20,640
21,419
% Growth
-54%
5%
9%
29%
-6%
6%
6%
2%
3%
4%
4%
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