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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 13.6x - 15.0x | 14.3x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 8.1x - 9.0x | 8.6x |
| Fair Value | $13.42 - $15.43 | $14.42 |
| Upside | -1.3% - 13.4% | 6.0% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| UPM-Kymmene Oyj | 0NV5 | LSE:0NV5 |
| Stora Enso Oyj | 0CX9 | LSE:0CX9 |
| The Navigator Company, S.A. | 0KLO | LSE:0KLO |
| Sappi Limited | SAP | JSE:SAP |
| Holmen AB (publ) | 0XS9 | LSE:0XS9 |
| Mondi plc | MNOD.F | OTCPK:MNOD.F |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 0NV5 | 0CX9 | 0KLO | SAP | 0XS9 | MNOD.F | ||
| LSE:0NV5 | LSE:0CX9 | LSE:0KLO | JSE:SAP | LSE:0XS9 | OTCPK:MNOD.F | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -4.5% | -17.4% | 12.6% | -4.7% | 11.1% | -13.9% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -8.2% | -34.2% | 18.2% | 17.7% | -1.9% | -11.7% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 8.0% | 791.9% | 2.3% | 143.8% | -33.2% | 0.7% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 12.3% | 7.8% | 16.3% | 5.4% | 16.3% | 11.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 9.3% | 0.4% | 18.8% | 9.7% | 17.7% | 7.3% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 10.2% | 3.6% | 18.2% | 5.3% | 11.7% | 7.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 10.2% | 3.6% | 18.2% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 7.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.27x | 0.89x | 1.45x | 0.45x | 2.52x | 1.03x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.3x | 10.6x | 5.8x | 3.2x | 14.8x | 8.0x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 12.5x | 24.5x | 8.0x | 4.7x | 21.5x | 14.0x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 4.7x | 12.5x | 24.5x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 7.8x | 13.3x | 16.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 13.6x | 14.3x | 15.0x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 542 | 542 | 542 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 7,353 | 7,740 | 8,127 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (2,196) | (2,196) | (2,196) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 5,157 | 5,544 | 5,931 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 440.5 | 440.5 | 440.5 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 11.71 | 12.59 | 13.46 | ||||
| FX Rate: EUR/USD | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 13.28 | 14.27 | 15.27 | 13.60 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -2.4% | 4.9% | 12.3% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 0NV5 | 0CX9 | 0KLO | SAP | 0XS9 | MNOD.F | |
| Enterprise Value | 13,055 | 8,498 | 3,034 | 2,489 | 59,763 | 7,479 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 893 | 1,999 | 287 | 283 | 234 | 278 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 2,267 | 1,567 | 0 | 14 | 1,707 | 34 | |
| (-) Debt | (3,913) | (5,779) | (1,016) | (1,689) | (3,682) | (2,015) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (401) | 150 | (0) | 0 | 0 | (493) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 11,901 | 6,435 | 2,304 | 1,097 | 58,022 | 5,283 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 528.7 | 788.6 | 711.2 | 604.6 | 157.7 | 440.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 22.51 | 8.16 | 3.24 | 1.81 | 368.00 | 11.99 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 0.88 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 22.51 | 8.16 | 3.24 | 34.65 | 368.00 | 13.60 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | ZAR | SEK | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.05 | 1.00 | 0.88 | |