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觀察名單
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已儲存工作
WarrenAI
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Li Ning Company Limited
PINC:LNNGF
中國 / 非必需消費品 / 紡織、成衣及奢侈品
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貨幣
$
綜觀
股息
財報
模型
財務狀況
比較
穩健度
圖表
10 年 DCF 收入退出價
股價
1.65
USD
公允價值
3.22
USD
Metrics
Range
Conclusion
Discount Rate
8.8% - 7.8%
8.3%
Terminal Revenue Multiple
1.6x - 1.8x
1.7x
Fair Value
$3.07 - $3.37
$3.22
Upside
86.0% - 104.3%
94.9%
3.7%
Revenue 10y CAGR
19.4%
10y Avg EBITDA Margin
NM
Unlevered FCF 10y CAGR
10-Year DCF Model: Revenue Exit
分享
儲存
股價
1.65
USD
公允價值
3.22
USD
看漲
94.9%
Revenue and EBITDA
CapEx
Working Capital
D&A
Tax Rate
Discount Rate
Terminal Value
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast
(CNY in millions)
Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending
Dec-24
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
Revenue
28,676
28,962
30,315
31,901
34,449
36,671
37,954
38,713
39,487
40,277
41,083
% Growth
3.9%
1.0%
4.7%
5.2%
8.0%
6.5%
3.5%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
EBITDA
5,198
5,024
5,471
5,958
6,789
7,326
7,582
7,734
7,889
8,047
8,207
% of Revenue
18.1%
17.3%
18.0%
18.7%
19.7%
20.0%
20.0%
20.0%
20.0%
20.0%
20.0%
支援算式
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Discounting Periods
Discounting Factors
Calculation of Enterprise Value
Equity Waterfall
Historical Financials
Current Trading Multiples
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
EBITDA
5,024
5,471
5,958
6,789
7,326
7,582
7,734
7,889
8,047
8,207
Other Income / (Exp)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
D&A
(1,695)
(1,726)
(1,877)
(1,978)
(2,163)
(2,238)
(2,283)
(2,329)
(2,375)
(2,423)
EBIT
3,329
3,745
4,081
4,811
5,164
5,344
5,451
5,560
5,671
5,785
Pro forma Taxes
(832)
(936)
(1,020)
(1,203)
(1,291)
(1,336)
(1,363)
(1,390)
(1,418)
(1,446)
NOPAT
2,965
2,497
2,809
3,061
3,608
3,873
4,008
4,088
4,170
4,253
4,339
Capital Expenditures
#NUM!
(1,798)
(1,847)
(1,759)
(1,935)
(2,024)
(1,906)
(1,944)
(1,958)
(1,936)
(1,946)
NWC Investment
83
22
104
122
197
171
99
59
60
61
62
(+) D&A
1,244
1,695
1,726
1,877
1,978
2,163
2,238
2,283
2,329
2,375
2,423
Free Cash Flow
#NUM!
2,416
2,792
3,302
3,848
4,183
4,440
4,486
4,601
4,754
4,878
% Growth
16%
18%
17%
9%
6%
1%
3%
3%
3%
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