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CPR
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RBREW
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BF.A
-1.9%
HK
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WarrenAI
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Kirin Holdings Co Ltd
PINC:KNBWF
日本 / 必需消費品 / 飲品
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貨幣
$
綜觀
股息
財報
模型
財務狀況
比較
穩健度
圖表
10 年 DCF 收入退出價
股價
12.85
USD
公允價值
16.00
USD
Metrics
Range
Conclusion
Discount Rate
8.3% - 7.2%
7.8%
Terminal Revenue Multiple
1.3x - 1.5x
1.4x
Fair Value
$14.66 - $17.44
$16
Upside
14.1% - 35.7%
24.5%
0.8%
Revenue 10y CAGR
14.8%
10y Avg EBITDA Margin
21.1%
Unlevered FCF 10y CAGR
10-Year DCF Model: Revenue Exit
分享
儲存
股價
12.85
USD
公允價值
16.00
USD
看漲
24.5%
Revenue and EBITDA
CapEx
Working Capital
D&A
Tax Rate
Discount Rate
Terminal Value
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast
(JPY in millions)
Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending
Dec-24
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
Revenue
2,338,385
2,425,220
2,444,534
2,503,600
2,505,000
2,544,000
2,544,000
2,544,000
2,544,000
2,544,000
2,544,000
% Growth
9.6%
3.7%
0.8%
2.4%
0.1%
1.6%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
EBITDA
286,156
320,000
336,650
353,000
374,800
391,100
391,100
391,100
391,100
391,100
391,100
% of Revenue
12.2%
13.2%
13.8%
14.1%
15.0%
15.4%
15.4%
15.4%
15.4%
15.4%
15.4%
支援算式
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Discounting Periods
Discounting Factors
Calculation of Enterprise Value
Equity Waterfall
Historical Financials
Current Trading Multiples
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
EBITDA
320,000
336,650
353,000
374,800
391,100
391,100
391,100
391,100
391,100
391,100
Other Income / (Exp)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
D&A
(125,000)
(122,100)
(122,000)
(123,050)
(117,950)
(117,950)
(117,950)
(117,950)
(117,950)
(117,950)
EBIT
195,000
214,550
231,000
251,750
273,150
273,150
273,150
273,150
273,150
273,150
Pro forma Taxes
(54,600)
(60,074)
(64,680)
(70,490)
(76,482)
(76,482)
(76,482)
(76,482)
(76,482)
(76,482)
NOPAT
137,127
140,400
154,476
166,320
181,260
196,668
196,668
196,668
196,668
196,668
196,668
Capital Expenditures
(180,584)
(156,350)
(130,000)
(130,000)
(129,250)
(129,250)
(129,250)
(129,250)
(129,250)
(129,250)
(129,250)
NWC Investment
(24,809)
(10,561)
(2,349)
(7,183)
(170)
(4,743)
0
0
0
0
0
(+) D&A
95,702
125,000
122,100
122,000
123,050
117,950
117,950
117,950
117,950
117,950
117,950
Free Cash Flow
27,436
98,489
144,227
151,137
174,890
180,625
185,368
185,368
185,368
185,368
185,368
% Growth
46%
5%
16%
3%
3%
0%
0%
0%
0%
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