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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 40.0x - 44.2x | 42.1x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 24.8x - 27.4x | 26.1x |
| Fair Value | $0 - $0.0081 | $0.0027 |
| Upside | -100.0% - 194.2% | -0.2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Suning.com Co., Ltd. | 2024 | SZSE:002024 |
| Cybernaut International Holdings Company Limited | 1020 | SEHK:1020 |
| Trans-China Automotive Holdings Limited | VI2 | Catalist:VI2 |
| PDD Holdings Inc. | PDD | NasdaqGS:PDD |
| Beijing Digital Telecom Co., Ltd. | 6188 | SEHK:6188 |
| GOME Retail Holdings Limited | GMEL.F | OTCPK:GMEL.F |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 2024 | 1020 | VI2 | PDD | 6188 | GMEL.F | |||
| SZSE:002024 | SEHK:1020 | Catalist:VI2 | NasdaqGS:PDD | SEHK:6188 | OTCPK:GMEL.F | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -23.1% | -14.0% | -7.5% | 67.2% | 2.8% | -60.1% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | -37.2% | -26.9% | -17.3% | 61.2% | 8.2% | -75.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -19.4% | 76.0% | -26.1% | 59.0% | 6.6% | -93.0% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -7.8% | -16.4% | 0.8% | 8.6% | -6.0% | -116.4% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | -16.6% | -31.8% | -0.9% | 23.7% | -1.3% | -29.3% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | -1.1% | -5.6% | -2.7% | 27.5% | -1.5% | -503.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 0.9% | -3.6% | -2.7% | 27.5% | -1.5% | -797.6% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.55x | 3.77x | 0.27x | 2.37x | 0.42x | 43.24x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 60.2x | -104.7x | -10.0x | 8.6x | -28.6x | -5.4x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.40x | 1.94x | 0.06x | 3.19x | 0.02x | 1.98x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.27x | 0.55x | 3.77x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.60x | 0.84x | 6.09x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 40.03x | 42.14x | 44.25x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 401 | 401 | 401 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 16,066 | 16,912 | 17,757 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (16,478) | (16,478) | (16,478) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 0 | 434 | 1,279 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 21,764.3 | 21,764.3 | 21,764.3 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.06 | |||||
| FX Rate: CNY/USD | 7.3 | 7.3 | 7.3 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -100.0% | -0.2% | 194.2% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 2024 | 1020 | VI2 | PDD | 6188 | GMEL.F | |
| Enterprise Value | 28,530 | 459 | 687 | 933,681 | 7,269 | 16,913 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 27,100 | 67 | 34 | 331,560 | 647 | 236 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 16,295 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 85 | 2,280 | |
| (-) Debt | (52,413) | (223) | (580) | (10,607) | (7,605) | (23,282) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 1,289 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 4,288 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | (70) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 20,801 | 236 | 141 | 1,254,634 | 422 | 435 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 9,163.3 | 4,081.4 | 589.6 | 1,388.8 | 886.5 | 21,764.3 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2.27 | 0.06 | 0.24 | 903.41 | 0.48 | 0.02 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 0.93 | 5.42 | 7.26 | 0.93 | 7.26 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.27 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 124.36 | 0.51 | 0.00 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | HKD | SGD | USD | HKD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 0.93 | 5.42 | 7.26 | 0.93 | 7.26 | |