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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 14.7x - 16.3x | 15.5x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 11.4x - 12.6x | 12.0x |
| Fair Value | $39.32 - $43.77 | $41.54 |
| Upside | -26.9% - -18.6% | -22.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Airbus SE | 1AIR | BIT:1AIR |
| Hensoldt AG | 1HENS | BIT:1HENS |
| Thales S.A. | HO | ENXTPA:HO |
| Safran SA | SAF | ENXTPA:SAF |
| Rheinmetall AG | 1RHM | BIT:1RHM |
| Leonardo S.p.a. | FINM.F | OTCPK:FINM.F |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 1AIR | 1HENS | HO | SAF | 1RHM | FINM.F | ||
| BIT:1AIR | BIT:1HENS | ENXTPA:HO | ENXTPA:SAF | BIT:1RHM | OTCPK:FINM.F | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 36.3% | 23.8% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 23.5% | 3.4% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -0.2% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 48.0% | 31.5% | 11.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 12.6% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 26.9% | 65.5% | 30.1% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 7.3% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 7.1% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 7.9% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 7.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.21x | 3.62x | 2.59x | 3.06x | 6.53x | 1.54x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 12.2x | 30.6x | 19.8x | 16.0x | 36.3x | 14.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 17.4x | 44.1x | 30.1x | 21.0x | 44.9x | 19.5x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 17.4x | 30.1x | 44.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 8.6x | 8.7x | 19.5x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 14.7x | 15.5x | 16.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 1,408 | 1,408 | 1,408 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 20,741 | 21,833 | 22,925 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,455) | (1,455) | (1,455) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 19,286 | 20,378 | 21,470 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 576.4 | 576.4 | 576.4 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 33.46 | 35.35 | 37.25 | ||||
| FX Rate: EUR/USD | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 38.22 | 40.39 | 42.55 | 53.76 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -28.9% | -24.9% | -20.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 1AIR | 1HENS | HO | SAF | 1RHM | FINM.F | |
| Enterprise Value | 83,802 | 8,174 | 53,213 | 85,773 | 63,719 | 28,580 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 18,729 | 734 | 4,768 | 6,519 | 1,253 | 2,556 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 16,542 | 30 | 1,809 | 2,692 | 415 | 1,899 | |
| (-) Debt | (14,279) | (1,376) | (7,823) | (5,078) | (2,423) | (4,700) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (90) | (14) | (43) | (549) | (414) | (1,210) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 104,704 | 7,548 | 51,924 | 89,357 | 62,550 | 27,125 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 788.0 | 115.5 | 205.3 | 416.8 | 43.4 | 576.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 132.88 | 65.35 | 252.90 | 214.40 | 1,440.00 | 47.06 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.88 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 132.88 | 65.35 | 252.90 | 214.40 | 1,440.00 | 53.76 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.88 | |