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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 14.6x - 16.1x | 15.3x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 9.2x - 10.2x | 9.7x |
| Fair Value | $282.04 - $294.23 | $288.13 |
| Upside | -21.0% - -17.6% | -19.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Safran SA | SAF | ENXTPA:SAF |
| Rheinmetall AG | RHM | DB:RHM |
| Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc. | HI4 | DB:HI4 |
| Rolls-Royce Holdings plc | RRS | XTRA:RRS |
| BAE Systems plc | BSP | DB:BSP |
| Dassault Aviation société anonyme | DUAV.F | OTCPK:DUAV.F |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| SAF | RHM | HI4 | RRS | BSP | DUAV.F | ||
| ENXTPA:SAF | DB:RHM | DB:HI4 | XTRA:RRS | DB:BSP | OTCPK:DUAV.F | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 1.8% | 23.5% | -2.5% | NM- | 8.5% | -7.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 48.0% | 31.5% | 0.6% | 73.3% | 10.3% | -0.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 26.9% | 65.5% | -13.9% | 32.0% | 4.7% | 56.8% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 11.4% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 13.4% | 12.0% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 6.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 14.6% | 14.6% | 5.8% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 14.6% | 14.6% | 5.8% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 3.06x | 6.68x | 0.97x | 3.10x | 2.19x | 1.95x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 16.0x | 37.2x | 11.3x | 20.6x | 17.7x | 18.3x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 21.0x | 45.9x | 16.9x | 24.3x | 23.3x | 23.4x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 16.9x | 23.3x | 45.9x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 4.2x | 7.7x | 23.4x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 14.6x | 15.3x | 16.1x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 532 | 532 | 532 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 7,751 | 8,159 | 8,567 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 11,286 | 11,286 | 11,286 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 19,038 | 19,446 | 19,854 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 78.2 | 78.2 | 78.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 243.45 | 248.67 | 253.89 | ||||
| FX Rate: EUR/USD | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 280.38 | 286.39 | 292.40 | 357.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -21.5% | -19.8% | -18.1% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | SAF | RHM | HI4 | RRS | BSP | DUAV.F | |
| Enterprise Value | 84,856 | 64,826 | 11,342 | 59,758 | 59,354 | 12,954 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 6,519 | 1,253 | 831 | 5,723 | 3,427 | 8,485 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 2,692 | 415 | 0 | 707 | 849 | 3,039 | |
| (-) Debt | (5,078) | (2,423) | (3,459) | (5,266) | (10,316) | (238) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (549) | (414) | 0 | (31) | (161) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 88,440 | 63,657 | 8,714 | 60,891 | 53,153 | 24,240 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 416.8 | 43.4 | 39.2 | 8,370.9 | 2,998.1 | 78.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 212.20 | 1,465.50 | 222.10 | 7.27 | 17.73 | 309.98 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.15 | 0.86 | 0.86 | 0.87 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 212.20 | 1,465.50 | 192.85 | 8.45 | 20.59 | 357.00 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.15 | 0.86 | 0.86 | 0.87 | |