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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 39.3x - 43.4x | 41.4x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 13.8x - 15.3x | 14.5x |
Fair Value | $80.51 - $89.98 | $85.24 |
Upside | -19.6% - -10.1% | -14.8% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Robertet SA | RBT | ENXTPA:RBT |
Symrise AG | SY1 | DB:SY1 |
Akzo Nobel N.V. | AKZA | ENXTAM:AKZA |
Evonik Industries AG | EVK | DB:EVK |
Syensqo SA/NV | 2NF | DUSE:2NF |
DSM-Firmenich AG | DSMF.F | OTCPK:DSMF.F |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
RBT | SY1 | AKZA | EVK | 2NF | DSMF.F | ||
ENXTPA:RBT | DB:SY1 | ENXTAM:AKZA | DB:EVK | DUSE:2NF | OTCPK:DSMF.F | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 9.8% | 8.5% | 1.8% | -6.9% | NM- | -8.8% | |
3Y CAGR | 15.7% | 12.6% | -4.7% | -13.2% | -1.0% | -10.5% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 16.8% | 32.3% | -11.1% | 37.4% | -34.0% | 190.9% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 14.5% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 13.5% | 5.1% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 14.6% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 15.3% | -5.3% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 15.3% | 14.2% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 10.4% | 4.0% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 16.0% | 14.2% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 10.4% | 4.0% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 2.28x | 2.92x | 1.18x | 0.76x | 1.05x | 2.03x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 11.8x | 15.0x | 10.4x | 6.8x | 5.7x | 16.3x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 14.2x | 20.6x | 13.4x | 13.7x | 10.0x | 51.2x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 10.0x | 13.7x | 20.6x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -80.0x | 35.1x | 59.7x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 39.3x | 41.4x | 43.4x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 509 | 509 | 509 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 19,997 | 21,049 | 22,102 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (2,181) | (2,181) | (2,181) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 17,816 | 18,868 | 19,921 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 264.3 | 264.3 | 264.3 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 67.42 | 71.40 | 75.38 | ||||
FX Rate: EUR/USD | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 77.61 | 82.20 | 86.78 | 100.08 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -22.4% | -17.9% | -13.3% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | RBT | SY1 | AKZA | EVK | 2NF | DSMF.F | |
Enterprise Value | 1,738 | 14,665 | 12,673 | 11,453 | 7,057 | 25,153 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 195 | 709 | 1,467 | 618 | 740 | 2,717 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 4 | 617 | 228 | 509 | 337 | 568 | |
(-) Debt | (334) | (2,546) | (5,368) | (3,781) | (2,115) | (5,280) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (1) | (38) | (242) | (80) | (50) | (186) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 1,601 | 13,407 | 8,758 | 8,719 | 5,969 | 22,972 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 2.0 | 139.8 | 170.8 | 466.0 | 103.7 | 264.3 | |
Implied Stock Price | 820.00 | 95.92 | 51.28 | 18.71 | 57.58 | 86.93 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.87 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 820.00 | 95.92 | 51.28 | 18.71 | 57.58 | 100.08 | |
Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | USD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.87 |