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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.8x - 0.9x | 0.9x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.6x - 0.7x | 0.7x |
| Fair Value | $4.91 - $5.42 | $5.16 |
| Upside | 8.8% - 20.2% | 14.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Grupo TMM, S.A.B. | - | OTCPK:GTMA.Y |
| MingZhu Logistics Holdings Limited | - | NasdaqCM:YGMZ |
| Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. | - | NYSE:YMM |
| Guangshen Railway Company Limited | - | OTCPK:GNGY.F |
| Pony Group Inc. | - | OTCPK:PNYG |
| DiDi Global Inc. | - | OTCPK:DIDI.Y |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| GTMA.Y | YGMZ | YMM | GNGY.F | PNYG | DIDI.Y | |||
| OTCPK:GTMA.Y | NasdaqCM:YGMZ | NYSE:YMM | OTCPK:GNGY.F | OTCPK:PNYG | OTCPK:DIDI.Y | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 3.5% | 26.3% | 35.4% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 9.1% | 67.9% | 34.1% | 10.3% | -14.8% | 6.0% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 52.7% | -49.2% | 33.2% | 2.8% | -45.2% | 7.5% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -8.6% | -1.5% | -31.8% | -1.7% | -112.5% | -11.2% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 1.7% | -0.1% | 26.2% | 4.0% | -83.6% | -2.5% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 6.2% | 0.4% | 27.3% | 3.9% | -168.5% | 0.6% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 7.7% | -15.5% | 27.3% | 3.6% | -168.5% | 0.6% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.5x | -14.2x | 26.0x | 5.5x | NA | 21.6x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.4x | 2.0x | 8.6x | 0.7x | 47.0x | 0.7x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 5.4x | -13.0x | 31.3x | 19.7x | -27.9x | 121.0x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.4x | 2.0x | 47.0x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.7x | 0.7x | 0.8x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.8x | 0.9x | 0.9x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 206,799 | 206,799 | 206,799 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 173,976 | 183,133 | 192,290 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 4,656.4 | 4,656.4 | 4,656.4 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 37.36 | 39.33 | 41.30 | |||||
| FX Rate: CNY/USD | 7.2 | 7.2 | 7.2 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 5.18 | 5.46 | 5.73 | 4.51 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 14.9% | 21.0% | 27.0% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | GTMA.Y | YGMZ | YMM | GNGY.F | PNYG | DIDI.Y | |
| Value of Common Equity | 778 | 112 | 96,172 | 16,508 | 5 | 151,367 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 34.9 | 76.7 | 1,045.9 | 10,908.8 | 11.5 | 4,656.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 22.30 | 1.46 | 91.95 | 1.51 | 0.40 | 32.51 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 19.39 | 1.00 | 7.21 | 7.21 | 1.00 | 7.21 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1.15 | 1.46 | 12.76 | 0.21 | 0.40 | 4.51 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 19.39 | 1.00 | 7.21 | 7.21 | 1.00 | 7.21 | |