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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -94.1x - -104.0x | -99.0x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 11.7x - 12.9x | 12.3x |
| Fair Value | $2.91 - $3.07 | $2.99 |
| Upside | -41.0% - -37.8% | -39.4% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| MingZhu Logistics Holdings Limited | YGMZ | NasdaqCM:YGMZ |
| Guangshen Railway Company Limited | GNGY.F | OTCPK:GNGY.F |
| Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. | YMM | NYSE:YMM |
| Webus International Limited | WETO | NasdaqCM:WETO |
| Pony Group Inc. | PNYG | OTCPK:PNYG |
| DiDi Global Inc. | DIDI.Y | OTCPK:DIDI.Y |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| YGMZ | GNGY.F | YMM | WETO | PNYG | DIDI.Y | ||
| NasdaqCM:YGMZ | OTCPK:GNGY.F | NYSE:YMM | NasdaqCM:WETO | OTCPK:PNYG | OTCPK:DIDI.Y | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | -26.8% | 5.5% | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | -15.6% | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -14139.5% | 1348.5% | 131.5% | 61.2% | -10.3% | 90.8% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 2.7% | -3.4% | -39.5% | -18.6% | -116.1% | -11.6% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -0.2% | -13.0% | 12.7% | -12.5% | -83.3% | -12.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 1.0% | 5.8% | 22.0% | -16.2% | -167.4% | -3.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -16.8% | 6.7% | 22.0% | -16.2% | -167.4% | -0.2% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.43x | 0.70x | 6.04x | 13.97x | 34.24x | 0.61x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -2.6x | 5.1x | 26.6x | -121.7x | NA | 40.1x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -2.6x | 10.5x | 27.4x | -86.0x | -22.4x | -260.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -86.0x | -2.6x | 27.4x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -22.5x | -2.2x | -2.1x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -94.1x | -99.0x | -104.0x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | (477) | (477) | (477) | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 44,889 | 47,252 | 49,614 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 50,219 | 50,219 | 50,219 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 95,108 | 97,471 | 99,833 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 4,842.2 | 4,842.2 | 4,842.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 19.64 | 20.13 | 20.62 | ||||
| FX Rate: CNY/USD | 7.3 | 7.3 | 7.3 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2.70 | 2.77 | 2.84 | 4.94 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -45.3% | -43.9% | -42.5% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | YGMZ | GNGY.F | YMM | WETO | PNYG | DIDI.Y | |
| Enterprise Value | 24 | 21,733 | 67,824 | 642 | 3 | 123,535 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1 | 2,332 | 20,813 | 3 | 0 | 43,571 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 781 | 9,876 | 0 | 0 | 18,377 | |
| (-) Debt | (20) | (2,880) | (65) | (12) | (1) | (11,616) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 39 | (458) | 0 | 0 | (113) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 5 | 22,004 | 97,990 | 633 | 2 | 173,754 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 6.7 | 10,700.6 | 1,045.8 | 22.0 | 11.5 | 4,842.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.76 | 2.06 | 93.70 | 28.76 | 0.21 | 35.88 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 7.26 | 7.26 | 7.26 | 1.00 | 7.26 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.76 | 0.28 | 12.90 | 3.96 | 0.21 | 4.94 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 7.26 | 7.26 | 7.26 | 1.00 | 7.26 | |