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圖表
10 年 DCF EBITDA 退出價
股價
37.97
USD
公允價值
43.75
USD
Metrics
Range
Conclusion
Discount Rate
10.0% - 9.0%
9.5%
Terminal EBITDA Multiple
15.7x - 17.7x
16.7x
Fair Value
$40.72 - $46.99
$43.75
Upside
7.2% - 23.8%
15.2%
5.0%
Revenue 10y CAGR
42.0%
10y Avg EBITDA Margin
12.3%
Unlevered FCF 10y CAGR
10-Year DCF Model: EBITDA Exit
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儲存
股價
37.97
USD
公允價值
43.75
USD
看漲
15.2%
Revenue and EBITDA
CapEx
Working Capital
D&A
Tax Rate
Discount Rate
Terminal Value
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast
(EUR in millions)
Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending
Dec-24
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
Revenue
6,214
6,560
7,066
7,645
8,112
8,597
9,215
9,537
9,728
9,923
10,121
% Growth
4.4%
5.6%
7.7%
8.2%
6.1%
6.0%
7.2%
3.5%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
EBITDA
1,603
2,337
2,580
2,797
3,512
3,808
4,127
4,272
4,357
4,445
4,533
% of Revenue
25.8%
35.6%
36.5%
36.6%
43.3%
44.3%
44.8%
44.8%
44.8%
44.8%
44.8%
支援算式
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Discounting Periods
Discounting Factors
Calculation of Enterprise Value
Equity Waterfall
Historical Financials
Current Trading Multiples
Calculation of Free Cash Flow
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
(EUR in millions)
Dec-25
Dec-26
Dec-27
Dec-28
Dec-29
Dec-30
Dec-31
Dec-32
Dec-33
Dec-34
EBITDA
2,337
2,580
2,797
3,512
3,808
4,127
4,272
4,357
4,445
4,533
Other Income / (Exp)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
D&A
(218)
(268)
(250)
(689)
(960)
(1,029)
(1,065)
(1,086)
(1,108)
(1,130)
EBIT
2,119
2,312
2,547
2,823
2,848
3,099
3,207
3,271
3,337
3,403
Pro forma Taxes
(487)
(532)
(586)
(649)
(655)
(713)
(738)
(752)
(767)
(783)
NOPAT
1,060
1,632
1,780
1,961
2,174
2,193
2,386
2,469
2,519
2,569
2,621
Capital Expenditures
(193)
(211)
(215)
(243)
(206)
(219)
(223)
(216)
(219)
(219)
(218)
NWC Investment
23
31
45
52
42
43
55
29
17
17
18
(+) D&A
227
218
268
250
689
960
1,029
1,065
1,086
1,108
1,130
Free Cash Flow
1,116
1,669
1,879
2,020
2,698
2,977
3,247
3,347
3,403
3,475
3,550
% Growth
49%
13%
8%
34%
10%
9%
3%
2%
2%
2%
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