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Casio Computer Co.,Ltd.

OTCPK:CSIOF

日本 / 非必需消費品 / 家居耐用品

綜觀

5 年 DCF 增長退出價

股價

8.36 USD

公允價值

10.73 USD

Metrics	Range	Conclusion
Discount Rate	10.0% - 9.0%	9.5%
Perpetuity Growth Rate	0.0% - 0.5%	0.0%
Fair Value	$10.34 - $11.54	$10.73
Upside	23.7% - 38.1%	28.3%

1.5%

Revenue 5y CAGR

13.3%

5y Avg EBITDA Margin

8.5%

Unlevered FCF 5y CAGR

5-Year DCF Model: Gordon Growth Exit

股價

8.36 USD

公允價值

10.73 USD

看漲

28.3%

Revenue and EBITDA

CapEx

Working Capital

D&A

Tax Rate

Discount Rate

Terminal Value


Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast

(JPY in millions)		Input Projections
Fiscal Years Ending	Mar-24	Mar-25	Mar-26	Mar-27	Mar-28	Mar-29

Revenue	268,828	262,200	276,000	282,000	283,000	289,000
% Growth	1.9%	-2.5%	5.3%	2.2%	0.4%	2.1%

EBITDA	26,063	25,500	37,050	40,400	41,000	42,000
% of Revenue	9.7%	9.7%	13.4%	14.3%	14.5%	14.5%

支援算式

Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Discounting Periods

Discounting Factors

Calculation of Enterprise Value

Equity Waterfall

Historical Financials

Current Trading Multiples


Calculation of Free Cash Flow

Projected Unlevered Cash Flow
(JPY in millions)		Mar-25	Mar-26	Mar-27	Mar-28	Mar-29	Terminal

EBITDA		25,500	37,050	40,400	41,000	42,000	42,000
Other Income / (Exp)		0	0	0	0	0	0
D&A		(11,000)	(11,550)	(10,600)	(10,400)	(9,800)	(6,175)

EBIT		14,500	25,500	29,800	30,600	32,200	35,825
Pro forma Taxes		(4,495)	(7,905)	(9,238)	(9,486)	(9,982)	(11,106)
NOPAT	9,804	10,005	17,595	20,562	21,114	22,218	24,719

Capital Expenditures	(4,574)	(4,500)	(14,500)	(14,500)	(11,500)	(6,500)	(6,500)
NWC Investment	(698)	926	(1,928)	(838)	(140)	(838)	0
(+) D&A	11,855	11,000	11,550	10,600	10,400	9,800	6,175

Free Cash Flow	16,386	17,431	12,717	15,824	19,874	24,680	24,394
% Growth		6%	-27%	24%	26%	24%	-1%

載入錯誤

Casio Computer Co.,Ltd.

OTCPK:CSIOF

日本 / 非必需消費品 / 家居耐用品

5 年 DCF 增長退出價