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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 8.3x - 9.1x | 8.7x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 9.4x - 10.4x | 9.9x |
| Fair Value | $0.38 - $0.43 | $0.41 |
| Upside | -25.2% - -15.2% | -20.2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Eneco Energy Limited | R14 | SGX:R14 |
| GKE Corporation Limited | 595 | Catalist:595 |
| Vibrant Group Limited | BIP | SGX:BIP |
| A-Sonic Aerospace Limited | BTJ | SGX:BTJ |
| AGX Group Berhad | AGX | KLSE:AGX |
| COSCO SHIPPING International (Singapore) Co., Ltd. | CSCM.Y | OTCPK:CSCM.Y |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| R14 | 595 | BIP | BTJ | AGX | CSCM.Y | ||
| SGX:R14 | Catalist:595 | SGX:BIP | SGX:BTJ | KLSE:AGX | OTCPK:CSCM.Y | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 33.5% | 10.5% | NM- | -9.2% | NM- | 15.2% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 1.4% | 17.4% | -2.5% | -43.1% | -7.4% | 5.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 89.4% | 57.9% | 23.8% | 924.3% | NM | 7.3% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.3% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 1.1% | 6.9% | 34.8% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 2.8% | 15.7% | 13.5% | -0.1% | 9.8% | 43.4% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 5.2% | 21.6% | 15.5% | 0.7% | 4.9% | 43.2% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 5.2% | 21.6% | 15.5% | 0.9% | 6.4% | 42.7% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.93x | 0.76x | 1.09x | -0.06x | 0.85x | 3.76x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 18.0x | 3.5x | 7.0x | -6.8x | 13.3x | 8.8x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 32.8x | 8.0x | 10.5x | -9.3x | 15.3x | 16.8x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -6.8x | 7.0x | 18.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.0x | 9.6x | 19.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.3x | 8.7x | 9.1x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 78 | 78 | 78 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 642 | 676 | 710 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (141) | (141) | (141) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 502 | 535 | 569 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,037.6 | 1,037.6 | 1,037.6 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.48 | 0.52 | 0.55 | ||||
| FX Rate: SGD/USD | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.38 | 0.40 | 0.43 | 0.51 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -25.9% | -21.0% | -16.0% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | R14 | 595 | BIP | BTJ | AGX | CSCM.Y | |
| Enterprise Value | 36 | 96 | 163 | (18) | 225 | 818 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 0 | 30 | 64 | 46 | 19 | 48 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 2 | 59 | 1 | 19 | 59 | |
| (-) Debt | 0 | (53) | (164) | (2) | (42) | (243) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | (7) | (1) | 0 | (5) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 36 | 76 | 113 | 26 | 221 | 677 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 3,296.9 | 770.5 | 679.2 | 105.6 | 432.9 | 1,037.6 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.01 | 0.10 | 0.17 | 0.25 | 0.51 | 0.65 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.78 | 1.00 | 1.29 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.01 | 0.10 | 0.17 | 0.32 | 0.51 | 0.51 | |
| Trading Currency | SGD | SGD | SGD | SGD | MYR | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.78 | 1.00 | 1.29 | |