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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 22.9x - 25.3x | 24.1x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 34.5x - 38.1x | 36.3x |
| Fair Value | $6.54 - $16.50 | $11.52 |
| Upside | -58.1% - 5.7% | -26.2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Acom Co., Ltd. | 8572 | TSE:8572 |
| Orient Corporation | 8585 | TSE:8585 |
| J Trust Co., Ltd. | 8508 | TSE:8508 |
| Marui Group Co., Ltd. | 8252 | TSE:8252 |
| Premium Group Co., Ltd. | 7199 | TSE:7199 |
| Credit Saison Co., Ltd. | CSAS.Y | OTCPK:CSAS.Y |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| 8572 | 8585 | 8508 | 8252 | 7199 | CSAS.Y | ||
| TSE:8572 | TSE:8585 | TSE:8508 | TSE:8252 | TSE:7199 | OTCPK:CSAS.Y | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 8.5% | -0.2% | NM- | 0.9% | 28.8% | 6.9% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -2.5% | -5.3% | 7.6% | 27.5% | 22.0% | 10.5% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 18.0% | NM | 438.1% | 22.7% | 45.0% | 83.9% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 29.2% | 19.0% | 6.3% | 20.2% | 21.5% | 19.7% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 34.9% | 21.8% | 1.8% | 22.8% | 22.4% | 19.6% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 32.3% | 16.6% | 8.8% | 22.7% | 24.8% | 21.1% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 33.2% | NA | 8.8% | 23.4% | 26.7% | 29.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 3.95x | 8.19x | 0.10x | 4.47x | 2.69x | 7.30x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 11.9x | 53.0x | 1.1x | 19.1x | 10.1x | 24.4x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 12.4x | 60.0x | 1.9x | 25.0x | 12.4x | 31.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.1x | 11.9x | 53.0x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 28.1x | 35.7x | 42.6x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 22.9x | 24.1x | 25.3x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 142,519 | 142,519 | 142,519 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 3,257,933 | 3,429,403 | 3,600,873 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (3,024,368) | (3,024,368) | (3,024,368) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 233,565 | 405,035 | 576,505 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 239.4 | 239.4 | 239.4 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 975.59 | 1,691.81 | 2,408.03 | ||||
| FX Rate: JPY/USD | 143.6 | 143.6 | 143.6 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 6.79 | 11.78 | 16.77 | 15.61 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -56.5% | -24.5% | 7.4% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 8572 | 8585 | 8508 | 8252 | 7199 | CSAS.Y | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,223,095 | 1,986,952 | (986) | 1,133,869 | 96,242 | 3,560,959 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 78,053 | 206,344 | 127,886 | 67,601 | 18,147 | 128,918 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 1,493 | 122,533 | 12,644 | 45,713 | 3,447 | 299,641 | |
| (-) Debt | (704,200) | (2,185,387) | (69,308) | (734,638) | (44,161) | (3,439,102) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (51,693) | (7,003) | (19,385) | (389) | (47) | (13,825) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 546,748 | 123,439 | 50,851 | 512,156 | 73,628 | 536,591 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,566.6 | 171.2 | 132.8 | 180.7 | 38.0 | 239.4 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 349.00 | 721.00 | 383.00 | 2,834.50 | 1,936.00 | 2,241.32 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 143.58 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 349.00 | 721.00 | 383.00 | 2,834.50 | 1,936.00 | 15.61 | |
| Trading Currency | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | JPY | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 143.58 | |