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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | -8.3x - -9.2x | -8.7x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 0.7x - 0.8x | 0.8x |
| Fair Value | $0.26 - $0.29 | $0.27 |
| Upside | 47.3% - 66.1% | 56.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Fuel Tech, Inc. | FTEK | NasdaqCM:FTEK |
| ACV Auctions Inc. | ACVA | NYSE:ACVA |
| Deep Green Waste & Recycling, Inc. | DGWR | OTCPK:DGWR |
| Strategic Environmental & Energy Resources, Inc. | SENR | OTCPK:SENR |
| CoreCivic, Inc. | CXW | NYSE:CXW |
| Bion Environmental Technologies, Inc. | BNET | OTCPK:BNET |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| FTEK | ACVA | DGWR | SENR | CXW | BNET | ||
| NasdaqCM:FTEK | NYSE:ACVA | OTCPK:DGWR | OTCPK:SENR | NYSE:CXW | OTCPK:BNET | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | -6.3% | NM- | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | -6.9% | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -44.7% | 36.0% | -3992.5% | 17.0% | -0.4% | 22.2% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -11.3% | -15.5% | -268.3% | -32.8% | 18.0% | NA | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | -8.6% | -16.5% | 0.7% | -51.0% | 15.7% | NA | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | -16.9% | -9.9% | -65.5% | -23.5% | 16.1% | NA | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -15.7% | -6.0% | -65.5% | -21.9% | 16.2% | NA | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 2.19x | 2.71x | 1.29x | 2.10x | 1.56x | NA | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | -13.9x | -45.3x | -2.0x | -9.6x | 9.6x | -6.3x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | -12.1x | -30.7x | -1.4x | -9.4x | 15.8x | -6.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -45.3x | -9.6x | 9.6x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -23.9x | -16.2x | -11.7x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | -8.3x | -8.7x | -9.2x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | (2) | (2) | (2) | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 17 | 18 | 18 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (3) | (3) | (3) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 14 | 15 | 15 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 56.7 | 56.7 | 56.7 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.24 | 0.26 | 0.27 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.24 | 0.26 | 0.27 | 0.17 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 39.4% | 48.3% | 57.2% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | FTEK | ACVA | DGWR | SENR | CXW | BNET | |
| Enterprise Value | 55 | 1,918 | 1 | 9 | 3,117 | 13 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 23 | 305 | 0 | 0 | 131 | 0 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (1) | (228) | (1) | (9) | (1,048) | (3) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | (0) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | (0) | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 85 | 1,995 | 0 | 2 | 2,199 | 10 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 31.1 | 172.1 | 16.9 | 68.7 | 107.1 | 56.7 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2.75 | 11.59 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 20.54 | 0.17 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.75 | 11.59 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 20.54 | 0.17 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |