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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 10.4x - 11.5x | 10.9x |
| Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 7.6x - 8.4x | 8.0x |
| Fair Value | $4 - $4.42 | $4.21 |
| Upside | 48.1% - 63.7% | 55.9% |
| Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
| Linhai Co.,Ltd. | 60,009,900.0% | SHSE:600099 |
| Dongfeng Motor Group Company Limited | 48,900.0% | SEHK:489 |
| Guangdong Lvtong New Energy Electric Vehicle Technology Co., LTD | 30,132,200.0% | SZSE:301322 |
| Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited | 62,500.0% | SZSE:000625 |
| Loncin Motor Co., Ltd. | 60,376,600.0% | SHSE:603766 |
| BAIC Motor Corporation Limited | - | OTCPK:BCCM.Y |
| - | - | - |
| Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| 600099 | 489 | 301322 | 625 | 603766 | BCCM.Y | |||
| SHSE:600099 | SEHK:489 | SZSE:301322 | SZSE:000625 | SHSE:603766 | OTCPK:BCCM.Y | |||
| Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 38.1% | NM- | 58.6% | 75.5% | -8.7% | -6.8% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 19.9% | NM- | 71.5% | 50.5% | 6.7% | 16.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 9.6% | -277.2% | -29.0% | -53.4% | 31.9% | -57.7% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 1.4% | 5.8% | 19.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.9% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 1.3% | 11.1% | 21.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 1.9% | -4.0% | 24.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 1.5% | -4.6% | 20.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 1.1% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 176.7x | 12.2x | 10.1x | 3.8x | 13.1x | 0.5x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 2.3x | 0.3x | 4.2x | 0.7x | 1.4x | 0.1x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 156.6x | -6.9x | 20.3x | 22.4x | 33.2x | 7.7x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -6.9x | 22.4x | 156.6x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/E Ratio | 3.3x | 5.4x | 9.0x | |||||
| Selected P/E Multiple | 10.4x | 10.9x | 11.5x | |||||
| (x) LTM Net Income | 2,115 | 2,115 | 2,115 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 21,968 | 23,124 | 24,281 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 780.5 | 780.5 | 780.5 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 28.14 | 29.63 | 31.11 | |||||
| FX Rate: CNY/USD | 7.3 | 7.3 | 7.3 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3.87 | 4.08 | 4.28 | 2.70 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 43.4% | 51.0% | 58.5% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | 600099 | 489 | 301322 | 625 | 603766 | BCCM.Y | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,165 | 34,399 | 3,665 | 112,366 | 23,123 | 15,316 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 219.1 | 8,252.6 | 142.4 | 8,690.4 | 2,053.5 | 780.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 9.88 | 4.17 | 25.74 | 12.93 | 11.26 | 19.62 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 7.27 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 9.88 | 4.46 | 25.74 | 12.93 | 11.26 | 2.70 | |
| Trading Currency | CNY | HKD | CNY | CNY | CNY | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 7.27 | |