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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 3.1x - 3.5x | 3.3x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 5.2x - 5.7x | 5.5x |
| Fair Value | $0.31 - $0.47 | $0.39 |
| Upside | -4.3% - 47.2% | 21.5% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| FLEX LNG Ltd. | FLNG | OB:FLNG |
| Dynagas LNG Partners LP | DGL | DB:DGL |
| Exmar NV | EXM | ENXTBR:EXM |
| Navigator Holdings Ltd. | 1NV | DB:1NV |
| Golar LNG Limited | GOL | OTCNO:GOL |
| Awilco LNG ASA | AWLN.F | OTCPK:AWLN.F |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| FLNG | DGL | EXM | 1NV | GOL | AWLN.F | |||
| OB:FLNG | DB:DGL | ENXTBR:EXM | DB:1NV | OTCNO:GOL | OTCPK:AWLN.F | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 24.3% | 3.6% | 27.0% | 13.5% | -10.3% | 12.8% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 1.2% | 4.3% | 45.4% | 11.7% | 0.0% | 4.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -4.0% | -2.5% | -28.4% | 2.9% | -12.8% | -16.3% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 55.4% | 43.5% | 26.7% | 16.9% | 81.4% | 43.4% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 58.5% | 40.3% | 9.4% | 24.0% | 6.4% | 63.2% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 55.5% | 49.5% | 20.2% | 26.5% | 32.7% | 49.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 55.5% | 49.5% | 20.2% | 26.5% | 32.7% | 49.2% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 7.26x | 3.32x | 1.55x | 2.52x | 19.80x | 3.17x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 13.1x | 6.7x | 7.7x | 9.5x | 60.6x | 6.4x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 3.52x | 0.89x | 2.06x | 1.63x | 15.31x | 0.50x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 1.55x | 3.32x | 19.80x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 3.17x | 5.26x | 7.17x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 3.13x | 3.29x | 3.46x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 68 | 68 | 68 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 211 | 222 | 234 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (167) | (167) | (167) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 44 | 55 | 66 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 132.5 | 132.5 | 132.5 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 0.33 | 0.42 | 0.50 | |||||
| FX Rate: USD/USD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.33 | 0.42 | 0.50 | 0.32 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 3.7% | 29.9% | 56.0% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | FLNG | DGL | EXM | 1NV | GOL | AWLN.F | |
| Enterprise Value | 2,586 | 510 | 540 | 1,429 | 5,623 | 210 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 437 | 68 | 275 | 131 | 569 | 24 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 40 | 0 | 221 | 261 | 77 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (1,810) | (321) | (317) | (857) | (1,459) | (191) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | (41) | (355) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | (127) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,253 | 131 | 719 | 923 | 4,454 | 43 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 54.1 | 47.9 | 57.5 | 69.3 | 115.9 | 132.5 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 23.16 | 2.73 | 12.50 | 13.32 | 38.41 | 0.32 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.10 | 1.08 | 1.08 | 1.08 | 0.10 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 243.20 | 2.52 | 11.54 | 12.30 | 403.29 | 0.32 | |
| Trading Currency | NOK | EUR | EUR | EUR | NOK | USD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.10 | 1.08 | 1.08 | 1.08 | 0.10 | 1.00 | |